NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	96		Excitement	6.3 [560]		MVP	Lamond Murray (CLE): +31.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	103		Comeback	1.2 [972]		LVP	Tyrone Hill (CLE): -16.7%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	21	64%	0.20	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00
Ira Newble	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.01	0.03	-0.04	7	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Cal Bowdler	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	70%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
DerMarr Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	58%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Strickland	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jacque Vaughn	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Hanno Mottola	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.03	-0.01	11	42%	0.02	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Nazr Mohammed	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.02	0.03	19	47%	-0.04	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.07	0.22	-0.03	16	61%	0.32	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.03
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.04	0.01	14	46%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	56%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Bryant Stith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.02	8	60%	0.06	3	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Wesley Person	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	20	47%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	8	54%	-0.01	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.01
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.06	0.01	9	43%	-0.07	3	-0.10	5	40%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	1.8	28.1	15.4	24.4	1.8	31.0	125.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +8.0%

CLE +15.3%

CLE +17.2%

CLE +7.3%

CLE +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CLE	NBA	ATL	CLE	NBA
this game	15.8	14.8	15.6	103.2	108.4	102.3
season	15.5	15.8		99.7	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.2		106.2	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.1	18.2	14.2	17.1	15.8
CLE	14.2	13.9	17.9	13.6	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Strickland	12	12	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.02	1	-8	9	13.7	16.1	-2.37	16.3	14.6	1.72
Hanno Mottola	7	7	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.04	1	-8	9	18.0	15.6	2.36	15.0	14.8	0.18
Alan Henderson	22	23	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-8	9	15.7	15.9	-0.18	14.6	14.9	-0.35
Cal Bowdler	33	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.20	4	-11	15	15.1	16.2	-1.17	16.8	13.8	2.94
Nazr Mohammed	27	27	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.08	-8	1	-9	16.1	15.7	0.36	13.8	15.2	-1.42
DerMarr Johnson	54	54	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.15	-1	-6	5	15.6	16.1	-0.49	15.6	13.9	1.72
Ira Newble	70	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.12	-7	0	-7	15.1	18.1	-3.07	14.4	16.0	-1.60
Jason Terry	76	77	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.27	-2	-5	3	15.2	18.5	-3.25	15.2	13.1	2.19
Jacque Vaughn	34	36	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.15	-9	2	-11	18.7	14.1	4.60	14.6	15.0	-0.40
Toni Kukoc	55	58	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.33	-5	-2	-3	16.3	15.1	1.25	13.8	16.4	-2.53
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	75	77	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	3	-13	16.0	15.1	0.88	14.5	16.3	-1.78

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Davis	54	51	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.27	8	-1	9	14.1	15.9	-1.80	16.6	14.8	1.84
Wesley Person	76	75	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.25	6	1	5	15.1	13.6	1.57	15.6	16.7	-1.12
Jumaine Jones	55	51	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.17	8	-1	9	14.1	15.8	-1.72	16.7	14.8	1.88
Andre Miller	73	72	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.21	4	3	1	14.5	16.1	-1.64	16.0	15.2	0.81
Lamond Murray	76	75	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.22	1	6	-5	14.9	14.7	0.12	14.9	19.6	-4.70
Tyrone Hill	55	56	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.22	0	7	-7	15.5	13.8	1.70	15.4	16.4	-0.93
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	39	40	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.00	6	1	5	15.8	14.1	1.72	15.2	16.3	-1.13
Brian Skinner	14	13	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.09	1	6	-5	14.9	14.8	0.11	16.0	15.8	0.21
Bryant Stith	17	17	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.02	1	6	-5	15.0	14.8	0.21	16.5	15.7	0.80
Michael Doleac	16	15	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	7	-7	14.9	14.8	0.05	17.1	15.6	1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.66,0.82,0.76,0.88,0.78,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 86, HOU 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.84,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,1,1,1	94.4%
DET 94, LAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.48,0.54,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.2%
PHI 84, TOR 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.2%