NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	94		Excitement	6.4 [501]		MVP	Lamar Odom (LAC): +8.7%
Los Angeles Clippers	101		Comeback	1.1 [789]		LVP	Michael Olowokandi (LAC): -18.3%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mikki Moore	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	7	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	9	67%	-0.03
Kornel David	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	13	42%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Billy Owens	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	12	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mateen Cleaves	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	8	55%	0.01	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	9	45%	-0.02	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	21	46%	-0.02	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Joe Smith	-0.14	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.04	0.03	10	63%	0.00	6	-0.14	7	100%	0.04

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	17	69%	0.24	6	-0.16	5	80%	0.01
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	12	62%	0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.02	10	57%	0.05	2	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	6	57%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.11	0.06	-0.03	12	39%	0.02	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.11
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	6	39%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	0.00	2	50%	-0.04	5	-0.14	6	50%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	29.4	16.4	24.5	2.5	33.3	132.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +38.4%

LAC +12.5%

LAC +4.8%

DET -1.7%

DET -3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	LAC	NBA	DET	LAC	NBA
this game	14.3	15.4	15.5	96.9	104.1	100.9
season	14.3	16.1		97.9	99.5
opponent	15.5	15.4		102.6	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	13.7	14.3	16.4	13.1	14.3
LAC	13.0	14.5	16.3	18.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kornel David	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.11	4	-11	15	5.0	14.6	-9.63	15.7	15.4	0.32
John Wallace	9	10	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-6	5	15.1	14.2	0.86	15.4	15.4	0.04
Jerry Stackhouse	79	77	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.10	-3	-4	1	14.4	14.0	0.41	14.3	19.4	-5.09
Jud Buechler	21	22	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.18	-2	-5	3	13.6	14.5	-0.97	15.8	15.2	0.53
Mateen Cleaves	43	43	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.22	-1	-6	5	13.6	14.9	-1.26	16.9	14.1	2.74
Chucky Atkins	61	61	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-3	-1	14.5	14.0	0.48	14.4	17.0	-2.61
Joe Smith	62	64	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.14	-6	-1	-5	14.5	14.1	0.43	15.6	14.8	0.82
Mikki Moore	73	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-2	-3	14.5	13.8	0.66	14.9	16.8	-1.94
Billy Owens	74	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.19	-8	1	-9	14.6	13.4	1.17	15.9	13.6	2.30
Corliss Williamson	60	59	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.18	-9	2	-11	14.5	14.1	0.36	16.1	14.3	1.80

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Maggette	56	55	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.28	14	-7	21	15.7	14.8	0.92	13.0	16.1	-3.11
Darius Miles	67	66	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.28	12	-5	17	15.8	14.3	1.54	13.4	16.4	-3.02
Sean Rooks	47	48	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.30	6	1	5	16.5	14.3	2.15	12.9	15.7	-2.76
Lamar Odom	80	79	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.26	6	1	5	15.6	14.3	1.29	14.4	13.9	0.54
Keyon Dooling	33	33	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.21	2	5	-3	17.3	14.4	2.90	13.5	14.8	-1.33
Jeff McInnis	64	64	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.09	5	2	3	14.4	17.3	-2.90	14.8	13.5	1.33
Quentin Richardson	17	18	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.04	1	6	-5	14.3	15.6	-1.29	13.9	14.4	-0.54
Michael Olowokandi	50	49	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	6	-5	14.3	16.5	-2.15	15.7	12.9	2.76
Cherokee Parks	30	31	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.01	-5	12	-17	14.3	15.8	-1.54	16.4	13.4	3.02
Eric Piatkowski	41	42	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.02	-7	14	-21	14.8	15.7	-0.92	16.1	13.0	3.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.48,0.54,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 104, NYK 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.98,1	94.3%
ATL 96, CLE 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.66,0.82,0.76,0.88,0.78,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.98,0.99,1	94.2%
CLE 82, BKN 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.44,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.77,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.95,1,1,1	94.1%