NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	104		Excitement	5.7 [661]		MVP	Stephon Marbury (NYK): +35.6%
New York Knicks	110		Comeback	1.3 [901]		LVP	Keyon Dooling (LAC): -12.9%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.01	0.03	11	74%	0.09	3	-0.06	16	87%	0.04
Chris Wilcox	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.03	8	68%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Corey Maggette	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	16	60%	0.09	3	-0.08	15	93%	0.06
Eddie House	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	8	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Matt Barnes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	12	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Quentin Richardson	-0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	13	44%	-0.03	2	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.21,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.36	0.36	0.24	0.11	-0.01	20	86%	0.47	4	-0.11	9	89%	0.04
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.15	0.07	-0.03	19	67%	0.24	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	60%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	3	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.00	7	69%	0.11	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	6	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	0.7	28.2	16.6	27.3	2.5	36.5	136.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +75.7%

LAC -16.7%

LAC -12.5%

NYK +4.6%

LAC -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	NYK	NBA	LAC	NYK	NBA
this game	16.6	16.3	15.7	118.2	126.4	100.5
season	15.5	15.5		101.3	98.6
opponent	15.8	15.4		100.8	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.5	18.8	18.0	14.5	16.6
NYK	14.5	19.1	16.2	16.1	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Kaman	43	43	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.03	2	-8	10	17.5	15.7	1.76	17.3	15.4	1.94
Eddie House	8	7	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.04	-4	-2	-2	17.6	16.5	1.14	16.0	16.3	-0.35
Matt Barnes	7	7	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	-2	-2	14.3	16.8	-2.50	12.9	16.6	-3.77
Quentin Richardson	73	72	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.27	3	-9	12	16.3	17.8	-1.46	16.5	15.7	0.79
Corey Maggette	77	77	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.27	0	-6	6	16.6	16.3	0.36	16.6	14.1	2.51
Keyon Dooling	26	24	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	5	-16	16.8	16.5	0.36	15.0	16.8	-1.88
Marko Jaric	73	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.37	-2	-4	2	16.8	15.5	1.27	16.7	14.2	2.46
Elton Brand	81	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.37	-3	-3	0	16.3	20.3	-4.01	16.2	18.0	-1.82
Chris Wilcox	52	51	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.31	-11	5	-16	16.3	16.9	-0.60	15.7	17.2	-1.44

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anfernee Hardaway	57	58	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.26	12	-6	18	15.7	17.5	-1.75	15.4	19.0	-3.60
Frank Williams	33	36	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.21	12	-6	18	16.7	16.1	0.65	17.7	15.8	1.87
Othella Harrington	45	44	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.33	6	0	6	16.7	16.0	0.71	15.5	17.7	-2.18
Stephon Marbury	83	83	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.33	6	0	6	16.2	18.0	-1.76	16.4	20.2	-3.83
Kurt Thomas	67	68	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.29	2	4	-2	16.4	16.0	0.42	16.9	15.6	1.22
Michael Doleac	24	26	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.02	6	0	6	13.8	17.3	-3.44	16.0	16.8	-0.84
DerMarr Johnson	6	5	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	6	-6	18.2	16.2	1.98	21.0	16.3	4.67
Dikembe Mutombo	38	38	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	8	-10	17.3	15.6	1.76	17.8	15.7	2.06
Shandon Anderson	63	62	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	10	-14	16.2	16.6	-0.36	16.3	17.3	-1.02
Keith Van Horn	19	20	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.08	-8	14	-22	17.5	16.0	1.54	18.9	15.9	2.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 94, LAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.48,0.54,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.3%
WAS 86, ORL 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.7,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.79,0.86,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.92,1,1,1	94.3%
NYK 112, MIL 120	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.71,0.81,0.87,0.8,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.75,0.83,0.93,0.92,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%