NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	116		Excitement	5.3 [774]		MVP	Patrick Beverley (HOU): +12.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	101		Comeback	1.9 [469]		LVP	Mo Williams (POR): -12.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Beverley	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.06	0.02	9	63%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Dwight Howard	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.01	13	76%	0.19	6	-0.13	12	75%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	58%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Omer Asik	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	67%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
James Harden	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.01	0.04	18	72%	0.21	8	-0.19	10	90%	0.02
Jeremy Lin	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	8	60%	0.08	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Aaron Brooks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	11	39%	0.00	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.00	0.05	6	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.01	0.02	12	61%	0.10	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.04
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.01	3	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Claver	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.02	0.04	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	10	54%	0.05	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	19	49%	0.02	3	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	0.03	17	54%	0.01	3	-0.06	7	57%	-0.03
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	0.00	-0.01	12	33%	-0.04	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.8	1.8	31.2	14.8	28.2	2.4	32.5	140.7
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +37.9%

HOU +14.7%

HOU +9.7%

POR -14.7%

HOU +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	POR	NBA	HOU	POR	NBA
this game	13.9	15.0	15.1	117.2	101.0	105.2
season	14.3	15.1		109.5	109.6
opponent	14.8	15.2		106.5	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	12.3	13.6	13.2	17.0	13.9
POR	16.0	14.7	15.0	14.3	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Howard	75	76	0.61	-0.11	0.71	-0.04	22	-7	29	14.4	12.4	2.07	16.1	11.5	4.61
Chandler Parsons	64	66	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.04	17	-2	19	14.9	12.1	2.82	15.9	13.3	2.58
James Harden	79	80	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.07	11	4	7	14.2	13.0	1.11	15.7	12.2	3.44
Jeremy Lin	59	62	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.01	12	3	9	13.8	14.2	-0.44	15.1	14.9	0.21
Patrick Beverley	60	60	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.03	7	8	-1	14.5	13.0	1.51	13.8	16.8	-3.00
Omri Casspi	54	53	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.08	4	11	-7	12.3	15.9	-3.66	14.1	16.0	-1.93
Francisco Garcia	48	49	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.16	-1	16	-17	13.8	14.1	-0.29	13.9	16.1	-2.20
Omer Asik	47	48	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.12	0	15	-15	13.1	14.7	-1.59	14.9	15.1	-0.12
Aaron Brooks	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	14	-13	13.0	14.0	-0.97	11.0	15.1	-4.08
Greg Smith	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	14	-13	13.0	14.0	-0.97	11.0	15.1	-4.08
Terrence Jones	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	14	-13	13.0	14.0	-0.97	11.0	15.1	-4.08

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Crabbe	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-16	17	10.7	15.1	-4.47	13.0	14.0	-0.97
Will Barton	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-16	17	10.7	15.1	-4.47	13.0	14.0	-0.97
Victor Claver	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-16	17	10.7	15.1	-4.47	13.0	14.0	-0.97
Robin Lopez	35	37	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-16	17	16.6	14.1	2.51	13.0	14.5	-1.46
Thomas Robinson	18	18	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-10	5	13.8	15.3	-1.42	13.0	14.1	-1.15
Dorell Wright	47	47	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-11	7	12.6	17.1	-4.46	13.5	14.3	-0.86
Damian Lillard	86	84	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-12	9	15.4	12.8	2.57	14.4	11.3	3.15
Meyers Leonard	32	31	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.07	-7	-8	1	14.1	15.4	-1.38	12.7	14.5	-1.74
Mo Williams	49	50	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.01	-12	-3	-9	14.4	15.6	-1.24	13.7	14.2	-0.48
Wesley Matthews	75	73	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.03	-12	-3	-9	15.5	13.5	2.03	14.4	12.6	1.80
Nicolas Batum	76	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.00	-14	-1	-13	15.3	13.9	1.43	14.4	12.7	1.63
LaMarcus Aldridge	73	72	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	0.10	-22	7	-29	16.1	12.0	4.06	14.3	13.0	1.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.38,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.32,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.23,0.1,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 92, SAS 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,0	94.9%
SAS 109, DET 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.06,0.1,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0	94.1%
BOS 101, IND 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.25,0.24,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0,0,0	93.9%