NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	110		Excitement	2.8 [1210]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (GSW): +15.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	90		Comeback	1.1 [1115]		LVP	Michael Carter-Williams (PHI): -15.9%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.25	0.00	0.10	18	80%	0.18	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Marreese Speights	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Klay Thompson	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	12	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Draymond Green	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	4	25%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ognjen Kuzmic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	1	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Nedovic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	33%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	6	44%	-0.00	2	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	3	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	1	67%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
David Lee	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	15	56%	0.05	5	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Curry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.00	0.06	16	53%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Toney Douglas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	5	30%	-0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	3	33%	0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Davies	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	36%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Wroten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	14	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.02
Darius Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	0.01	6	47%	0.00	2	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	-0.00	-0.07	10	30%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	0.05	7	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	6	31%	-0.00	3	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Daniel Orton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	2	14%	-0.03	2	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01
Evan Turner	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	0.05	12	62%	0.02	5	-0.10	5	80%	0.01
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.18	-0.01	-0.03	17	39%	-0.08	6	-0.08	12	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	1.8	31.2	14.7	24.3	2.6	27.3	129.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +40.5%

GSW +0.3%

GSW +2.6%

GSW +5.8%

GSW +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	PHI	NBA	GSW	PHI	NBA
this game	12.8	13.4	15.1	99.1	82.6	105.2
season	14.2	13.7		105.9	98.4
opponent	15.0	15.3		108.4	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	10.9	12.5	12.1	16.4	12.8
PHI	13.6	14.2	12.7	13.0	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Klay Thompson	72	71	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.60	38	-18	56	11.4	15.4	-4.02	13.5	13.1	0.47
Stephen Curry	73	71	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.49	34	-14	48	11.4	15.5	-4.10	13.1	13.8	-0.70
Andre Iguodala	79	76	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.55	35	-15	50	11.9	15.2	-3.31	13.4	13.2	0.25
David Lee	64	63	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.53	34	-14	48	11.2	15.0	-3.73	13.5	13.2	0.36
Andrew Bogut	53	53	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.39	25	-5	30	12.3	13.3	-0.97	13.5	13.2	0.26
Draymond Green	45	44	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.27	-3	23	-26	13.8	12.2	1.60	13.9	13.0	0.92
Jermaine O'Neal	27	27	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	21	-22	14.1	12.4	1.65	13.7	13.2	0.51
Kent Bazemore	28	28	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.44	-15	35	-50	15.1	12.1	3.00	12.5	13.7	-1.15
Nemanja Nedovic	24	24	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.41	-14	34	-48	16.2	11.9	4.31	13.0	13.5	-0.51
Ognjen Kuzmic	19	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	31	-42	15.9	12.2	3.70	11.6	13.7	-2.09
Toney Douglas	38	38	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.41	-14	34	-48	15.5	11.4	4.10	13.8	13.1	0.70
Marreese Speights	33	32	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.22	-8	28	-36	13.6	12.5	1.15	13.2	13.4	-0.15

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Orton	37	37	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.42	15	-35	50	13.5	13.3	0.15	14.3	12.1	2.16
Brandon Davies	23	23	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.41	14	-34	48	13.2	13.4	-0.23	16.0	12.0	4.05
Hollis Thompson	36	37	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.44	15	-35	50	12.0	14.0	-2.03	15.0	11.8	3.22
Lavoy Allen	41	43	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.06	1	-21	22	12.8	13.7	-0.93	13.8	12.2	1.53
Darius Morris	41	42	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.47	15	-35	50	12.9	13.6	-0.77	15.1	11.4	3.65
Tony Wroten	50	53	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.14	-10	-10	0	13.9	12.9	0.96	12.5	13.2	-0.72
Evan Turner	58	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.43	-26	6	-32	14.0	12.6	1.34	12.5	13.2	-0.73
Thaddeus Young	55	56	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.38	-29	9	-38	13.3	13.4	-0.02	11.0	14.7	-3.69
Michael Carter-Williams	81	83	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.21	-23	3	-26	13.1	14.1	-1.06	12.3	14.4	-2.04
James Anderson	61	61	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.40	-31	11	-42	13.8	12.8	1.05	11.3	14.7	-3.33
Spencer Hawes	62	63	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.68	-41	21	-62	13.8	12.8	0.93	11.8	14.2	-2.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 120, GSW 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.26,0.27,0.2,0.24,0.26,0.21,0.27,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
TOR 117, NYK 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.37,0.26,0.18,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
NOH 86, TOR 74	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.28,0.23,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%