NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	86		Excitement	2.4 [1230]		MVP	Darrell Armstrong (NOH): +4.5%
Toronto Raptors	74		Comeback	1.0 [567]		LVP	Chris Bosh (TOR): -8.6%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	73%	0.05	2	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	11	56%	0.04	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	11	52%	0.02	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
David West	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	56%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Baron Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	25	42%	0.01	1	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03
David Wesley	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.16	0.00	-0.13	9	16%	-0.03	3	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Robert Traylor	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	4	58%	0.01	4	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
George Lynch	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lonny Baxter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	60%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	6	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.12	0.00	-0.08	18	39%	-0.00	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.13	0.00	-0.07	8	12%	-0.06	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.02	-0.01	0.09	15	61%	-0.04	3	-0.04	6	100%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	5	27%	-0.02	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.5	29.9	15.8	23.2	2.6	27.0	125.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +21.4%

TOR -0.2%

NOH +17.3%

NOH +7.8%

NOH +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	TOR	NBA	NOH	TOR	NBA
this game	17.0	15.6	15.7	97.7	83.1	100.5
season	16.0	16.8		99.3	94.8
opponent	15.7	15.7		98.4	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	16.4	14.2	18.8	18.7	17.0
TOR	17.9	16.4	14.8	13.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baron Davis	76	76	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.08	12	0	12	17.1	16.3	0.76	15.2	17.6	-2.40
Jamaal Magloire	61	61	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.14	8	4	4	18.1	14.4	3.78	15.7	15.3	0.40
P.J. Brown	63	63	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.06	9	3	6	17.7	15.1	2.61	15.4	16.0	-0.62
Darrell Armstrong	49	50	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.04	9	3	6	17.0	17.0	-0.02	14.5	17.0	-2.51
Stacey Augmon	51	52	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.09	7	5	2	17.0	17.0	-0.02	14.5	17.0	-2.51
David West	30	31	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.04	10	2	8	14.3	18.4	-4.13	14.8	16.0	-1.16
David Wesley	51	53	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.16	3	9	-6	16.8	17.2	-0.35	16.8	13.7	3.14
George Lynch	37	36	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	7	-2	17.0	17.0	0.02	17.5	14.3	3.21
Robert Traylor	22	23	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.14	-3	15	-18	15.4	17.5	-2.17	16.7	15.2	1.59

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Curry	24	24	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.17	4	-16	20	14.4	16.0	-1.63	19.3	16.1	3.22
Milt Palacio	22	20	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.04	-4	-8	4	14.4	16.0	-1.59	16.2	17.2	-1.02
Lonny Baxter	32	31	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-8	4	14.6	16.1	-1.56	16.9	17.1	-0.18
Morris Peterson	44	42	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	-8	4	14.5	16.6	-2.01	17.9	16.2	1.71
Vince Carter	62	63	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-12	12	15.6	15.4	0.22	17.5	15.8	1.72
Chris Bosh	45	43	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.08	-16	4	-20	17.3	13.8	3.45	15.6	18.3	-2.75
Jalen Rose	61	62	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	3	-18	16.9	12.7	4.15	16.4	18.4	-1.98
Donyell Marshall	77	78	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.20	-8	-4	-4	15.4	16.9	-1.57	17.1	16.2	0.89
Alvin Williams	78	77	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.14	-13	1	-14	15.4	16.7	-1.33	16.8	18.5	-1.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.28,0.23,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 108, ORL 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
DET 103, CHA 78	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
LAC 107, PHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%