NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	107		Excitement	2.3 [1275]		MVP	Chris Paul (LAC): +10.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	90		Comeback	1.0 [1094]		LVP	Spencer Hawes (PHI): -8.9%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.16	0.00	0.06	11	87%	0.11	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.17	0.00	0.09	10	87%	0.09	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Eric Bledsoe	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.03	0.00	-0.08	7	56%	0.07	3	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.03	7	73%	0.05	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Willie Green	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	4	40%	-0.01	2	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Blake Griffin	-0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	14	62%	0.05	4	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Grant Hill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arnett Moultrie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	5	80%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.15	0.00	0.12	18	69%	0.05	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	70%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	12	36%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	3	83%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.00	14	33%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	14	36%	-0.04	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	-0.03	7	31%	-0.04	4	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.6	26.3	16.4	24.4	2.5	23.5	121.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +42.0%

PHI -0.3%

PHI -2.3%

LAC +6.9%

LAC +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	PHI	NBA	LAC	PHI	NBA
this game	16.3	16.6	15.4	121.6	103.4	104.1
season	15.6	15.5		109.0	100.5
opponent	15.7	15.7		104.2	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	12.9	18.5	15.6	19.1	16.3
PHI	15.9	21.5	15.7	14.3	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	49	48	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.35	27	-10	37	13.8	19.5	-5.69	17.2	15.9	1.22
DeAndre Jordan	49	47	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.25	21	-4	25	14.3	18.7	-4.40	16.3	17.0	-0.75
Blake Griffin	55	53	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.31	22	-5	27	14.0	20.2	-6.17	16.6	16.6	-0.04
Grant Hill	39	37	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.20	4	13	-9	18.8	14.3	4.58	17.3	16.1	1.18
Jamal Crawford	42	43	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.04	12	5	7	18.3	14.5	3.85	18.5	14.8	3.65
Matt Barnes	55	55	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.26	18	-1	19	13.7	20.7	-7.04	16.4	17.0	-0.55
Ryan Hollins	33	34	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.32	-5	22	-27	20.2	14.0	6.17	16.6	16.6	0.04
Lamar Odom	30	31	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	12	-7	19.4	14.7	4.66	18.2	15.7	2.44
Willie Green	40	39	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	17	-17	15.3	17.1	-1.78	14.2	18.6	-4.33
Eric Bledsoe	39	39	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.35	-10	27	-37	19.5	13.8	5.69	15.9	17.2	-1.22
Ronny Turiaf	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	26	-35	16.7	16.3	0.41	13.0	17.0	-4.04

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damien Wilkins	18	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.38	13	-30	43	14.2	17.3	-3.09	18.7	15.6	3.11
Royal Ivey	21	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.35	12	-29	41	14.3	17.4	-3.08	19.1	15.4	3.73
Arnett Moultrie	45	45	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.18	4	-21	25	16.8	16.5	0.33	18.2	14.3	3.99
Jeremy Pargo	38	39	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.08	-6	-11	5	17.6	15.9	1.65	19.0	14.1	4.90
Dorell Wright	25	24	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.17	1	-18	19	16.9	16.5	0.42	19.0	15.3	3.72
Nick Young	65	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	-5	-7	16.2	18.0	-1.85	14.9	20.4	-5.42
Jrue Holiday	57	56	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.26	-22	5	-27	16.5	16.9	-0.48	14.6	19.3	-4.79
Spencer Hawes	55	55	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.18	-20	3	-23	16.6	16.6	0.04	14.5	19.3	-4.76
Evan Turner	59	60	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.22	-25	8	-33	17.2	15.5	1.65	15.8	17.4	-1.61
Lavoy Allen	52	54	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.35	-30	13	-43	17.6	15.2	2.42	15.4	17.8	-2.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 124, MIN 111	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
MEM 108, ORL 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
BOS 120, ORL 88	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.42,0.34,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%