NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	120		Excitement	2.5 [1254]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (BOS): +6.6%
Orlando Magic	88		Comeback	1.0 [1033]		LVP	Tobias Harris (ORL): -10.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	0.01	0.04	8	87%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.13	0.00	0.08	10	80%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	7	87%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	12	41%	0.03	2	-0.01	5	60%	-0.01
Courtney Lee	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.15	0.01	0.14	10	83%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Chris Wilcox	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	4	78%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
DJ White	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	17	44%	0.02	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Avery Bradley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.04	9	70%	0.04	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	14	40%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
DeQuan Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	45%	-0.00	1	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doron Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.09	0.00	0.10	7	79%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	9	61%	0.00	5	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	14	57%	0.00	4	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.15	0.01	-0.09	10	20%	-0.04	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	8	39%	-0.00	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.00	0.10	16	55%	-0.05	4	-0.05	8	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.5	28.9	15.8	28.0	2.6	26.6	128.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +44.1%

BOS +0.9%

BOS +2.7%

BOS +0.7%

BOS +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ORL	NBA	BOS	ORL	NBA
this game	14.3	15.7	15.4	125.0	91.7	104.1
season	14.9	15.5		101.2	100.3
opponent	15.3	16.2		107.7	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.2	12.4	16.8	15.3	14.3
ORL	14.5	15.8	16.0	16.8	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	53	55	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.25	25	7	18	14.1	14.6	-0.52	16.2	15.1	1.07
Kevin Garnett	38	38	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.37	27	5	22	13.2	15.0	-1.83	16.6	15.1	1.48
Jeff Green	74	73	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.18	19	13	6	14.4	14.0	0.44	15.3	17.0	-1.70
Avery Bradley	54	54	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.10	14	18	-4	14.5	14.1	0.39	15.0	16.6	-1.62
Jordan Crawford	57	56	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.34	22	10	12	13.8	14.9	-1.11	15.6	15.8	-0.24
Brandon Bass	62	64	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.18	15	17	-2	14.9	13.2	1.68	15.2	16.7	-1.56
Courtney Lee	57	57	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.37	19	13	6	14.2	14.4	-0.16	16.0	15.3	0.76
Chris Wilcox	38	39	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.19	11	21	-10	14.9	13.9	1.09	16.1	15.5	0.58
Terrence Williams	30	28	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.34	13	19	-6	14.7	14.1	0.59	16.1	15.5	0.56
DJ White	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	30	-28	13.8	14.4	-0.53	17.0	15.6	1.44
Shavlik Randolph	6	6	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.18	-7	39	-46	14.0	14.3	-0.31	14.5	15.8	-1.29

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeQuan Jones	16	17	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-32	32	16.7	15.5	1.25	13.6	14.4	-0.85
Doron Lamb	47	48	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.30	-16	-16	0	16.2	15.2	0.99	14.8	13.8	0.96
Andrew Nicholson	49	49	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.11	-10	-22	12	16.2	15.2	1.01	14.5	14.1	0.36
Kyle O'Quinn	48	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.37	-19	-13	-6	15.7	15.7	0.04	14.4	14.1	0.28
E'Twaun Moore	48	48	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.19	-15	-17	2	15.2	16.2	-1.08	14.4	14.2	0.17
Beno Udrih	70	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.12	-17	-15	-2	15.2	17.2	-1.98	14.3	14.2	0.17
Tobias Harris	70	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.23	-21	-11	-10	15.2	17.2	-2.04	14.3	14.3	-0.06
Nikola Vucevic	60	57	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.31	-25	-7	-18	15.7	15.7	-0.07	14.0	14.7	-0.72
Maurice Harkless	72	71	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.61	-37	5	-42	16.2	14.1	2.11	14.1	14.9	-0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.42,0.34,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 107, PHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
PHX 108, LAC 88	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
MIA 128, SAC 99	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.27,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%