NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	120		Excitement	2.8 [1177]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +5.8%
Golden State Warriors	97		Comeback	1.1 [499]		LVP	John Starks (GSW): -8.6%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	13	67%	0.06	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Erick Strickland	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	14	53%	0.04	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Michael Finley	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.00	0.05	15	68%	0.05	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Steve Nash	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Hughes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Cedric Ceballos	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	18	55%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Hubert Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	0.00	0.08	2	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	11	50%	-0.00	4	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Legler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	3	87%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	13	45%	-0.00	1	-0.00	5	80%	0.01
Tony Farmer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	80%	0.00	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	21	46%	0.02	3	-0.04	4	50%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	23	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	6	36%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	5	21%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	10	25%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	-0.01	-0.04	11	23%	-0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.8	28.2	14.8	30.0	1.5	31.6	131.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +40.5%

DAL +9.6%

GSW -5.4%

DAL +5.5%

GSW -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	GSW	NBA	DAL	GSW	NBA
this game	15.5	14.6	15.2	126.3	101.0	101.7
season	14.8	14.7		104.2	97.2
opponent	14.7	14.8		105.8	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	11.6	16.0	14.1	21.8	15.5
GSW	16.5	16.7	11.6	14.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	68	70	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.12	19	4	15	14.2	18.8	-4.59	15.1	13.5	1.61
Michael Finley	77	77	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.05	16	7	9	15.1	17.3	-2.16	15.4	11.7	3.68
Shawn Bradley	70	72	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.06	15	8	7	14.6	18.1	-3.52	15.9	10.9	4.96
Erick Strickland	74	75	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.26	21	2	19	15.2	16.7	-1.46	13.8	17.5	-3.64
Cedric Ceballos	66	67	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.01	12	11	1	17.1	11.9	5.22	14.1	15.8	-1.66
Robert Pack	56	57	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.04	10	13	-3	13.5	18.4	-4.89	13.9	15.7	-1.74
Steve Nash	42	42	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.13	13	10	3	18.0	13.5	4.48	14.9	14.5	0.39
Rick Hughes	17	16	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.09	5	18	-13	20.1	14.5	5.59	13.1	14.9	-1.81
Hubert Davis	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	19	-15	22.2	15.2	7.04	7.7	14.9	-7.18

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Jones	11	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-21	19	12.3	14.9	-2.67	24.4	14.4	9.99
Tim Legler	16	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.05	-2	-21	19	13.0	15.0	-1.96	22.9	13.9	8.96
Vonteego Cummings	28	29	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.10	-4	-19	15	12.7	15.4	-2.71	17.7	14.6	3.16
Tony Farmer	30	30	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.19	-8	-15	7	12.8	15.5	-2.62	19.0	13.9	5.13
Adonal Foyle	48	48	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-21	19	14.0	15.3	-1.27	16.6	14.4	2.26
John Starks	47	45	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	-19	15	14.3	14.9	-0.58	15.3	15.7	-0.41
Donyell Marshall	40	39	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.09	-5	-18	13	14.9	14.4	0.45	16.3	15.0	1.33
Jason Caffey	53	51	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.04	-10	-13	3	14.6	14.7	-0.03	13.0	18.4	-5.41
Chris Mills	58	57	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.14	-15	-8	-7	15.4	13.4	1.97	15.3	15.8	-0.48
Terry Cummings	22	21	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.20	-19	-4	-15	18.0	13.6	4.31	11.7	16.6	-4.89
Mookie Blaylock	61	60	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.13	-21	-2	-19	15.5	13.1	2.35	13.4	19.2	-5.77
Antawn Jamison	66	67	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.19	-23	0	-23	15.0	13.8	1.17	13.7	19.8	-6.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.26,0.27,0.2,0.24,0.26,0.21,0.27,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 109, PHI 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.24,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
DAL 103, MEM 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
GSW 110, PHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%