NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	103		Excitement	2.3 [1275]		MVP	Josh Howard (DAL): +19.0%
Memphis Grizzlies	84		Comeback	1.0 [1065]		LVP	Mike Miller (MEM): -6.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Howard	0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.17	0.00	-0.02	17	67%	0.19	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	15	62%	0.07	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jason Terry	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	14	48%	0.07	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	3	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	6	69%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Jose Juan Barea	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	9	47%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Devean George	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Maurice Ager	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	8	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juan Carlos Navarro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	10	57%	0.05	0	0.00	8	62%	0.01
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	13	42%	0.01	0	0.00	14	43%	-0.07
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.06	14	58%	0.02	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	0.05	12	52%	-0.02	1	-0.01	1	100%	-0.00
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	10	36%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.6	28.6	16.0	28.1	2.8	27.0	126.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +38.4%

DAL +6.7%

DAL +9.4%

MEM -6.0%

DAL +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MEM	NBA	DAL	MEM	NBA
this game	17.5	14.0	15.4	112.0	92.3	105.7
season	16.1	14.9		108.9	103.3
opponent	14.9	15.4		109.9	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.1	17.2	15.8	21.4	17.5
MEM	14.5	12.8	14.9	13.9	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Howard	71	68	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.13	23	-4	27	16.5	20.9	-4.44	13.7	14.9	-1.19
Dirk Nowitzki	73	73	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.25	24	-5	29	16.9	19.7	-2.78	13.7	15.0	-1.27
Erick Dampier	69	69	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.12	17	2	15	17.3	17.9	-0.52	14.0	14.0	0.03
Jason Terry	74	74	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.04	10	9	1	17.8	16.1	1.77	13.4	16.7	-3.35
Jose Juan Barea	40	39	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.21	15	4	11	18.1	17.0	1.10	14.2	13.8	0.44
Eddie Jones	40	41	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.11	3	16	-13	16.9	17.9	-0.93	14.0	13.9	0.08
DeSagana Diop	13	11	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.14	0	19	-19	19.5	17.1	2.40	16.8	13.6	3.23
Trenton Hassell	34	34	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	16	-13	18.6	16.8	1.81	15.8	12.9	2.95
Devean George	17	17	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	16	-13	17.7	17.4	0.28	13.5	14.1	-0.55
Brandon Bass	27	27	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.20	-6	25	-31	18.6	17.0	1.52	13.1	14.3	-1.18
Maurice Ager	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	16	-13	15.0	17.5	-2.53	18.5	13.9	4.62

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Casey Jacobsen	16	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-23	27	12.0	14.4	-2.40	21.1	16.7	4.41
Stromile Swift	4	3	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.17	-7	-12	5	19.2	13.7	5.51	11.0	17.7	-6.70
Hakim Warrick	26	27	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-21	23	14.2	13.9	0.25	18.2	17.2	1.05
Andre Brown	20	20	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.09	1	-20	21	13.5	14.1	-0.61	17.0	17.6	-0.61
Pau Gasol	52	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.00	-9	-10	1	14.0	13.9	0.05	17.8	17.1	0.68
Darko Milicic	45	47	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.10	-14	-5	-9	13.3	14.6	-1.28	17.2	17.7	-0.50
Juan Carlos Navarro	63	61	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.08	-14	-5	-9	14.0	13.9	0.17	18.2	16.1	2.03
Kyle Lowry	81	82	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.05	-12	-7	-5	13.8	15.4	-1.60	17.5	17.0	0.54
Mike Miller	72	73	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.24	-26	7	-33	14.5	12.2	2.30	16.2	22.4	-6.16
Rudy Gay	76	77	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.06	-20	1	-21	14.2	12.7	1.57	17.4	17.9	-0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 109, PHI 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.24,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
CLE 103, CHA 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
NYK 111, SEA 93	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.26,0.27,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%