NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	111		Excitement	2.7 [1223]		MVP	Eddy Curry (NYK): +15.4%
Seattle SuperSonics	93		Comeback	1.0 [498]		LVP	Luke Ridnour (SEA): -6.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddy Curry	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.20	-0.00	0.04	9	90%	0.20	3	-0.05	12	75%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.19	-0.00	0.12	17	72%	0.09	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.12	0.00	-0.19	26	42%	0.11	5	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	70%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
David Lee	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	8	53%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Malik Rose	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	33%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	8	57%	0.04	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.01
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.06	5	80%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Mike Wilks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	10	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Mickael Gelabale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.04	8	62%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	16	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	13	40%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Luke Ridnour	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	0.03	8	44%	-0.06	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.8	1.6	30.0	14.8	27.0	2.4	24.3	130.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +42.3%

SEA -0.0%

NYK +5.6%

NYK +0.5%

NYK +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	SEA	NBA	NYK	SEA	NBA
this game	18.5	15.2	15.4	129.1	109.4	104.5
season	15.7	15.4		103.7	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.4		108.3	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.0	18.0	19.9	23.4	18.5
SEA	15.5	14.8	15.3	15.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	52	53	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.22	26	-8	34	16.4	21.6	-5.17	16.0	13.9	2.02
Jamal Crawford	86	85	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.03	18	0	18	18.5	0.0	18.47	15.2	0.0	15.20
Eddy Curry	56	56	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.21	24	-6	30	17.0	21.2	-4.25	15.7	14.3	1.40
Stephon Marbury	71	70	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.11	17	1	16	18.6	17.7	0.97	15.4	14.3	1.13
Channing Frye	41	39	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.09	14	4	10	18.1	18.8	-0.66	15.7	14.7	1.00
David Lee	51	50	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	16	-14	19.3	17.2	2.13	14.5	16.2	-1.65
Renaldo Balkman	35	35	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	18	-18	20.1	17.3	2.83	14.4	15.8	-1.41
Malik Rose	22	22	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.13	-4	22	-26	23.5	16.7	6.77	14.5	15.4	-0.88
Mardy Collins	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	23	-28	19.8	18.2	1.59	14.0	15.4	-1.38
Jerome James	4	4	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	20	-22	8.7	18.9	-10.19	12.2	15.3	-3.10

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mickael Gelabale	34	35	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.20	9	-27	36	14.6	15.6	-1.07	21.8	16.2	5.67
Mike Wilks	12	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-23	28	16.9	14.9	2.00	19.8	18.2	1.59
Andre Brown	12	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-23	28	16.9	14.9	2.00	19.8	18.2	1.59
Danny Fortson	27	29	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.00	-2	-16	14	16.0	14.8	1.12	16.8	19.3	-2.47
Nick Collison	39	39	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.08	-8	-10	2	14.2	16.1	-1.93	19.7	17.5	2.20
Johan Petro	25	25	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	-11	4	14.6	15.4	-0.85	17.0	19.0	-2.01
Ray Allen	63	63	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	-6	-6	15.5	14.4	1.07	19.5	15.7	3.78
Earl Watson	59	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.11	-8	-10	2	15.0	15.7	-0.65	17.4	20.7	-3.32
Luke Ridnour	46	47	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.17	-18	0	-18	15.5	14.9	0.56	18.3	18.7	-0.46
Chris Wilcox	46	46	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.20	-24	6	-30	15.6	14.7	0.89	16.9	20.2	-3.34
Damien Wilkins	62	63	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.30	-30	12	-42	14.9	16.1	-1.22	17.9	20.0	-2.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.26,0.27,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 125, WAS 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.25,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
DAL 103, MEM 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
SAS 109, PHI 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.24,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%