NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	117		Excitement	2.7 [1231]		MVP	Danny Green (TOR): +10.4%
New York Knicks	92		Comeback	1.0 [1271]		LVP	Kevin Knox (NYK): -10.5%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Green	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.00	0.01	9	83%	0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.19	-0.00	0.11	19	67%	0.08	0	0.00	8	87%	-0.00
Norman Powell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	7	69%	0.04	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	9	48%	0.02	1	0.00	3	0%	-0.04
Patrick McCaw	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	13	46%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Boucher	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	150%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Miller	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	62%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	3	86%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	0.00	0.07	8	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	4	20%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Lowry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	10	35%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	12	63%	0.05	0	0.00	6	50%	0.00
Luke Kornet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	150%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Henry Ellenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	33%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
John Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	4	20%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damyean Dotson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	9	45%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	37%	-0.00	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Kadeem Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	0.00	0.09	9	78%	0.01	4	-0.04	5	100%	0.01
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	11	29%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	0.02	8	44%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.02	12	39%	-0.06	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Kevin Knox	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.00	0.03	10	37%	-0.08	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.4	28.0	15.4	34.3	0.8	27.4	133.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +39.8%

NYK -0.4%

NYK -5.7%

TOR +16.4%

NYK -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NYK	NBA	TOR	NYK	NBA
this game	14.3	14.2	14.3	115.8	91.1	109.3
season	14.3	14.5		111.5	103.8
opponent	14.1	14.5		112.5	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.3	16.5	14.1	13.5	14.3
NYK	14.4	14.8	13.1	14.8	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pascal Siakam	65	64	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.34	31	-6	37	13.7	15.4	-1.71	15.5	12.1	3.35
Danny Green	44	43	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.22	24	1	23	13.8	14.7	-0.87	15.3	13.4	1.83
Marc Gasol	49	49	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.16	22	3	19	13.7	14.8	-1.11	15.0	13.5	1.42
Fred VanVleet	66	67	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.31	27	-2	29	14.3	14.3	-0.04	15.1	12.5	2.60
Kyle Lowry	55	56	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.14	13	12	1	13.6	15.1	-1.43	13.8	14.7	-0.91
Serge Ibaka	49	50	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.17	11	14	-3	15.3	13.3	1.94	14.0	14.4	-0.41
Norman Powell	46	46	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.18	9	16	-7	15.2	13.6	1.59	14.0	14.4	-0.34
Jeremy Lin	53	53	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	24	-23	14.8	13.7	1.06	13.4	15.1	-1.67
Patrick McCaw	40	40	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	28	-31	15.2	13.7	1.51	12.2	15.5	-3.32
Chris Boucher	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	28	-31	13.5	14.4	-0.83	12.7	14.4	-1.68
Malcolm Miller	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	29	-33	13.7	14.4	-0.71	12.8	14.5	-1.68
Jodie Meeks	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	28	-31	13.5	14.4	-0.83	12.7	14.4	-1.68

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kadeem Allen	38	39	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.19	7	-32	39	12.8	15.1	-2.35	16.0	13.2	2.79
Luke Kornet	18	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-29	33	13.7	14.3	-0.62	14.2	14.3	-0.16
Henry Ellenson	18	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-29	33	13.7	14.3	-0.62	14.2	14.3	-0.16
Lance Thomas	40	38	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.08	-3	-22	19	13.0	15.0	-1.99	15.6	13.5	2.03
John Jenkins	25	26	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.05	-2	-23	21	14.8	14.1	0.71	13.5	14.6	-1.06
Dennis Smith Jr.	42	40	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.24	-13	-12	-1	13.8	14.5	-0.76	15.0	13.8	1.26
Mitchell Robinson	64	64	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.12	-10	-15	5	13.7	15.1	-1.43	14.6	13.7	0.88
Damyean Dotson	64	62	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.31	-22	-3	-19	14.5	13.8	0.66	14.5	14.0	0.43
DeAndre Jordan	42	42	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.14	-18	-7	-11	15.3	13.5	1.81	13.9	14.6	-0.70
Kevin Knox	58	58	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.22	-23	-2	-21	14.5	13.9	0.56	13.4	15.5	-2.13
Mario Hezonja	43	44	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.27	-26	1	-27	15.6	13.2	2.32	13.2	15.1	-1.84
Emmanuel Mudiay	53	54	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.16	-23	-2	-21	14.8	13.6	1.19	13.6	15.0	-1.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.37,0.26,0.18,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 109, NYK 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
GSW 110, PHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
ATL 107, TOR 89	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.32,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%