NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	107		Excitement	3.0 [1156]		MVP	Jim Jackson (ATL): +5.8%
Toronto Raptors	89		Comeback	1.0 [443]		LVP	Charles Oakley (TOR): -5.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	11	62%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0.06	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	5	100%	0.06	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roshown McLeod	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	12	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Bimbo Coles	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	5	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cal Bowdler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Isaiah Rider	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	16	56%	0.03	3	-0.04	9	56%	-0.02
Lorenzen Wright	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	8	62%	-0.00	2	-0.01	5	60%	-0.01
Alan Henderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	14	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	0.00	0.06	13	57%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	8	41%	-0.00	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
John Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	11	46%	-0.00	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	14	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	8	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	13	45%	-0.04	1	-0.01	5	80%	-0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.02	13	46%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	10	40%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.8	31.0	15.8	28.6	2.7	26.0	129.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +39.2%

ATL +0.0%

ATL +4.5%

ATL +2.6%

ATL +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	TOR	NBA	ATL	TOR	NBA
this game	15.7	16.1	15.2	118.9	97.8	101.7
season	15.4	15.5		99.3	101.8
opponent	14.9	15.2		102.1	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.2	14.7	17.0	16.0	15.7
TOR	16.1	15.9	15.0	17.6	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Rider	60	62	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.01	17	1	16	15.1	16.9	-1.80	15.8	16.8	-0.99
Dikembe Mutombo	71	72	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.01	17	1	16	16.0	14.5	1.55	15.8	17.3	-1.51
Bimbo Coles	50	51	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	7	4	15.6	15.8	-0.22	15.8	16.5	-0.68
Alan Henderson	54	55	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.02	8	10	-2	15.9	15.4	0.47	15.9	16.5	-0.63
Roshown McLeod	43	44	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.12	13	5	8	15.6	15.8	-0.18	16.5	15.8	0.69
Lorenzen Wright	49	50	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.04	10	8	2	15.2	16.3	-1.04	16.8	15.3	1.51
Jim Jackson	60	61	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.04	7	11	-4	16.5	14.2	2.30	15.9	16.6	-0.67
Jason Terry	35	36	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.01	7	11	-4	16.3	15.3	0.91	16.8	15.7	1.13
Anthony Johnson	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	19	-20	16.4	15.6	0.83	18.5	15.8	2.76
Chris Crawford	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	18	-18	12.8	15.9	-3.07	13.7	16.2	-2.48
Cal Bowdler	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	17	-16	14.0	15.8	-1.82	16.6	16.1	0.51
Dion Glover	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	18	-18	12.8	15.9	-3.07	13.7	16.2	-2.48

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alvin Williams	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-17	16	16.6	16.1	0.51	14.0	15.8	-1.82
Michael Stewart	5	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-17	16	16.6	16.1	0.51	14.0	15.8	-1.82
Dell Curry	31	32	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	-16	14	17.6	15.3	2.26	16.8	15.1	1.68
John Thomas	21	22	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.16	-10	-8	-2	15.5	16.3	-0.78	13.0	16.6	-3.63
Kevin Willis	30	29	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.06	-8	-10	2	17.8	15.3	2.50	16.4	15.4	1.05
Muggsy Bogues	27	27	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.12	-11	-7	-4	16.9	15.8	1.14	15.8	15.7	0.11
Antonio Davis	62	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.23	0	-18	18	16.0	16.5	-0.53	16.9	13.1	3.83
Dee Brown	51	50	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.15	-3	-15	12	16.1	16.2	-0.14	16.4	14.8	1.62
Vince Carter	53	51	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.07	-8	-10	2	15.2	17.4	-2.19	15.5	16.0	-0.48
Doug Christie	49	47	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-10	2	15.4	16.9	-1.50	15.4	16.0	-0.57
Tracy McGrady	57	57	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.20	-21	3	-24	16.4	15.7	0.71	15.0	16.9	-1.86
Charles Oakley	64	62	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.04	-17	-1	-16	15.7	17.2	-1.57	15.3	16.6	-1.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.32,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 119, CHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.31,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
GSW 81, DEN 69	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
TOR 117, NYK 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.37,0.26,0.18,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%