NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	90		Excitement	4.6 [920]		MVP	Khris Middleton (DET): +16.4%
Utah Jazz	103		Comeback	1.1 [1262]		LVP	Alec Burks (UTA): -12.8%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khris Middleton	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.04	-0.01	7	86%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	8	82%	0.10	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Rodney Stuckey	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.03	10	68%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jonas Jerebko	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.00	14	47%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Greg Monroe	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.01	0.03	15	48%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Viacheslav Kravtsov	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Brandon Knight	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	6	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Will Bynum	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	11	46%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Charlie Villanueva	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	7	14%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.02	-0.01	8	78%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.04	0.02	14	69%	0.14	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.02	4	73%	0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.01	9	78%	0.14	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.02	0.04	8	65%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	15	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	38%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Randy Foye	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	7	36%	-0.02	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.5	26.3	16.3	23.4	1.8	25.3	121.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +42.4%

UTA +3.0%

UTA +16.8%

DET -11.9%

DET -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	UTA	NBA	DET	UTA	NBA
this game	15.2	18.3	15.4	104.7	119.8	104.1
season	15.7	16.0		102.3	104.6
opponent	15.1	15.5		105.0	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.1	15.8	16.6	14.6	15.2
UTA	19.5	16.2	20.2	17.5	18.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Knight	7	6	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	-11	9	14.1	15.3	-1.16	19.0	18.2	0.77
Kyle Singler	41	42	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-12	11	15.4	15.0	0.44	19.1	17.5	1.64
Greg Monroe	75	74	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-11	9	15.0	16.4	-1.32	18.5	17.0	1.49
Viacheslav Kravtsov	8	9	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.04	-8	-5	-3	16.2	15.1	1.15	18.4	18.3	0.18
Jose Calderon	65	65	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.19	-2	-11	9	15.2	15.1	0.09	19.2	15.5	3.65
Rodney Stuckey	63	63	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	-4	-5	15.3	15.0	0.23	18.6	17.3	1.27
Jonas Jerebko	51	52	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.06	-9	-4	-5	15.2	15.2	0.06	18.6	17.8	0.85
Charlie Villanueva	39	39	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	-4	-5	15.3	15.1	0.13	17.5	18.9	-1.40
Will Bynum	36	36	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.06	-11	-2	-9	15.3	15.2	0.12	15.8	20.0	-4.21
Khris Middleton	45	44	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	-1	-11	15.0	15.4	-0.44	17.5	19.1	-1.64

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Enes Kanter	38	38	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.05	23	-10	33	16.9	19.4	-2.43	15.1	15.3	-0.23
Jeremy Evans	45	45	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.02	20	-7	27	16.8	19.9	-3.01	15.2	15.3	-0.11
Gordon Hayward	51	53	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.07	20	-7	27	17.0	20.1	-3.14	15.3	15.1	0.19
Marvin Williams	55	56	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.02	16	-3	19	16.8	20.8	-4.00	15.1	15.5	-0.45
Alec Burks	40	41	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.06	8	5	3	17.5	19.0	-1.50	14.9	15.5	-0.63
Mo Williams	46	45	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	8	-3	19.0	17.5	1.50	15.5	14.9	0.63
DeMarre Carroll	31	30	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	16	-19	20.8	16.8	4.00	15.5	15.1	0.45
Randy Foye	35	33	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.19	-7	20	-27	20.1	17.0	3.14	15.1	15.3	-0.19
Al Jefferson	54	54	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.14	-8	21	-29	19.2	16.8	2.39	15.1	15.4	-0.31
Derrick Favors	35	35	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.13	-9	22	-31	20.2	16.9	3.29	15.6	14.9	0.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.77,0.79,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 112, WAS 119	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.82,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,1	95.0%
UTA 98, LAL 109	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.94,1,1	94.6%
WAS 102, DET 113	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.71,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.9,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1	94.6%