NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	98		Excitement	5.8 [618]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +19.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	109		Comeback	1.2 [1022]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): -16.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	55%	0.04	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
CJ Miles	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	3	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	11	46%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Ronnie Price	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	11	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mehmet Okur	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	19	46%	-0.04	0	0.00	8	87%	0.03
Paul Millsap	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Deron Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	18	35%	-0.01	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	8	28%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Carlos Boozer	-0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.06	0.00	14	47%	0.02	7	-0.19	4	75%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.19	0.02	0.02	16	69%	0.27	3	-0.07	23	91%	0.08
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.02	0.04	6	88%	0.13	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.05	-0.02	12	48%	0.11	1	-0.03	9	67%	-0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	8	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	71%	0.07	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.04	13	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
DJ Mbenga	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	6	36%	-0.03	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	3.5	31.5	19.4	30.0	2.8	44.0	158.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +49.1%

LAL +14.5%

UTA -17.8%

LAL +3.6%

LAL +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAL	NBA	UTA	LAL	NBA
this game	16.5	13.1	15.4	101.0	111.2	105.7
season	15.5	14.6		111.2	110.6
opponent	15.2	15.0		104.1	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.0	18.9	16.9	14.5	16.5
LAL	15.3	11.1	16.6	10.3	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarron Collins	2	1	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.02	1	-12	13	11.5	16.6	-5.07	0.0	13.2	-13.23
Ronnie Price	4	5	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-10	9	18.5	16.4	2.12	15.6	13.0	2.64
CJ Miles	10	10	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-12	13	18.9	16.2	2.72	7.9	13.7	-5.78
Andrei Kirilenko	60	61	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-6	1	15.9	17.3	-1.39	13.8	11.9	1.97
Paul Millsap	27	27	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	-5	-1	18.0	15.9	2.18	13.6	12.9	0.69
Ronnie Brewer	67	67	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.12	-4	-7	3	16.2	17.0	-0.82	13.4	12.5	0.94
Matt Harpring	25	25	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.04	-7	-4	-3	16.2	16.6	-0.41	12.4	13.3	-0.93
Carlos Boozer	71	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.19	-6	-5	-1	16.8	15.5	1.32	14.1	10.4	3.68
Mehmet Okur	82	84	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.18	-7	-4	-3	16.7	15.3	1.42	13.1	13.0	0.11
Kyle Korver	44	45	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.08	-11	0	-11	15.5	17.3	-1.81	11.6	14.4	-2.80
Deron Williams	93	93	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.17	-10	-1	-9	16.4	18.5	-2.12	13.0	15.6	-2.64

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	76	74	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.07	16	-5	21	13.2	12.9	0.29	16.6	15.9	0.72
Lamar Odom	80	80	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.18	7	4	3	13.4	11.5	1.95	16.9	14.6	2.27
Kobe Bryant	82	81	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.17	7	4	3	13.1	12.9	0.26	16.2	18.0	-1.84
Derek Fisher	80	77	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.14	6	5	1	13.3	12.3	0.93	16.3	17.0	-0.74
Sasha Vujacic	38	37	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.05	8	3	5	11.4	14.2	-2.81	15.9	16.8	-0.92
Luke Walton	31	31	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.02	9	2	7	11.2	14.0	-2.73	15.0	17.1	-2.10
Jordan Farmar	18	20	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	6	-1	12.3	13.3	-0.93	17.0	16.3	0.74
Vladimir Radmanovic	50	49	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.12	-1	12	-13	14.5	11.6	2.92	17.5	15.4	2.11
Ronny Turiaf	35	35	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	13	-15	13.5	12.9	0.66	16.7	16.3	0.35
DJ Mbenga	0	1	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	11	-11	0.0	13.1	-13.09	3.0	16.6	-13.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 108, UTA 119	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.87,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	95.0%
MIL 100, CLE 115	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.85,0.9,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.84,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	94.7%
MIL 112, WAS 119	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.82,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,1	94.7%