NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	108		Excitement	4.8 [834]		MVP	Jeff Hornacek (UTA): +18.7%
Utah Jazz	119		Comeback	1.2 [959]		LVP	Jason Williams (SAC): -12.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	9	62%	0.05	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Lawrence Funderburke	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	54%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Scot Pollard	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	58%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	9	58%	-0.01	0	0.00	13	77%	-0.00
Chris Webber	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	18	52%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Tony Delk	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	4	60%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Darrick Martin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.03	5	83%	0.04	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Anderson	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	9	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Jason Williams	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.02	-0.03	10	35%	-0.05	4	-0.08	3	100%	0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.09	-0.01	13	71%	0.23	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.07
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.02	0.03	12	79%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	7	78%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Scott Padgett	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	21	54%	0.05	3	-0.06	14	57%	-0.03
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	45%	-0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	0.00	8	44%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.7	1.4	31.5	15.6	28.1	1.8	31.3	140.4
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +40.9%

SAC -2.0%

UTA +7.9%

UTA +6.2%

SAC -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	UTA	NBA	SAC	UTA	NBA
this game	12.9	16.5	15.2	111.3	120.2	101.7
season	13.8	16.3		102.9	104.5
opponent	15.2	14.7		100.6	100.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.0	13.9	12.2	13.4	12.9
UTA	17.3	16.1	15.5	17.1	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Delk	13	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.15	5	-16	21	14.3	12.6	1.66	17.7	16.3	1.34
Lawrence Funderburke	10	10	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	-9	7	14.4	12.7	1.71	19.5	16.1	3.35
Darrick Martin	9	9	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	-6	1	16.0	12.5	3.45	18.1	16.3	1.79
Nick Anderson	59	62	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.21	3	-14	17	12.0	14.2	-2.21	16.5	16.5	0.04
Corliss Williamson	47	49	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.21	3	-14	17	12.3	13.4	-1.10	15.8	17.2	-1.40
Scot Pollard	55	56	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.33	4	-15	19	13.0	12.7	0.23	16.5	16.5	-0.05
Vlade Divac	42	43	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.15	-15	4	-19	12.7	13.0	-0.23	16.5	16.5	0.05
Peja Stojakovic	50	50	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.04	-14	3	-17	13.4	12.3	1.10	17.2	15.8	1.40
Jon Barry	38	37	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.04	-14	3	-17	14.2	12.0	2.21	16.5	16.5	-0.04
Jason Williams	75	78	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	0	-11	12.2	15.0	-2.76	16.1	17.9	-1.74
Chris Webber	87	89	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.15	-9	-2	-7	12.7	14.4	-1.71	16.1	19.5	-3.35

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Stockton	67	68	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.05	12	-1	13	17.1	15.2	1.92	13.2	12.1	1.04
Armen Gilliam	22	23	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.06	15	-4	19	16.5	16.5	0.08	14.0	12.5	1.49
Karl Malone	89	87	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.16	6	5	1	16.4	17.3	-0.91	12.8	13.5	-0.71
Bryon Russell	60	61	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.09	7	4	3	16.2	16.9	-0.68	12.9	12.8	0.05
Greg Ostertag	53	52	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	6	-1	16.1	16.9	-0.76	13.2	12.5	0.66
Jeff Hornacek	60	61	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.06	7	4	3	15.8	17.5	-1.70	13.2	12.2	0.98
Howard Eisley	56	52	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.09	4	7	-3	16.8	16.1	0.65	12.4	13.4	-1.08
Adam Keefe	12	10	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.03	5	6	-1	14.6	16.7	-2.16	13.9	12.7	1.15
Jacque Vaughn	20	18	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.08	2	9	-7	16.1	16.6	-0.42	11.6	13.2	-1.61
Quincy Lewis	22	21	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.14	-4	15	-19	17.8	16.1	1.66	12.6	12.9	-0.32
Olden Polynice	32	31	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	13	-15	17.2	16.2	0.99	12.0	13.3	-1.23
Scott Padgett	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	13	-15	18.5	16.4	2.06	3.0	13.0	-9.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.87,0.96,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 98, LAL 109	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.94,1,1	95.0%
PHX 75, HOU 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.89,0.89,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.99,1	94.9%
MIL 100, CLE 115	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.85,0.9,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.84,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	94.5%