NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	75		Excitement	4.0 [986]		MVP	Glen Rice (HOU): +5.9%
Houston Rockets	85		Comeback	1.1 [937]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (PHX): -16.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jake Voskuhl	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	12	63%	0.06	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Scott Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Langhi	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.02	4	67%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Bo Outlaw	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	3	12%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	-0.02	-0.05	10	40%	-0.05	3	-0.06	10	60%	-0.02
Shawn Marion	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.17	-0.04	-0.06	18	33%	-0.10	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Stephon Marbury	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17	-0.19	-0.02	-0.05	22	38%	-0.08	5	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	10	65%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	60%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	10	59%	0.05	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	15	57%	0.06	5	-0.07	5	80%	-0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.01	-0.04	12	33%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	9	46%	-0.05	1	-0.00	8	62%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.4	26.6	16.3	27.8	1.7	33.6	136.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +45.3%

PHX -0.1%

PHX -3.1%

HOU +5.9%

HOU +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	HOU	NBA	PHX	HOU	NBA
this game	15.8	17.7	15.5	87.2	98.8	101.6
season	15.0	16.3		101.1	101.7
opponent	15.4	15.9		100.4	100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.6	20.1	13.2	16.1	15.8
HOU	16.7	18.8	18.1	17.4	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Williams	2	1	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.07	-4	-6	2	19.5	15.7	3.77	5.0	17.8	-12.82
Dan Langhi	7	6	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	-5	0	13.0	16.1	-3.06	10.2	18.2	-8.07
Tom Gugliotta	3	4	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-7	4	25.3	15.5	9.86	23.5	17.4	6.11
Bo Outlaw	27	27	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.02	-6	-4	-2	15.9	15.8	0.11	18.2	17.4	0.80
Jake Voskuhl	13	12	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	-3	-4	15.5	15.9	-0.42	17.3	17.7	-0.40
Jake Tsakalidis	50	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.37	5	-15	20	16.0	15.5	0.49	18.5	16.4	2.09
Joe Johnson	25	24	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	-1	-8	17.9	15.0	2.91	20.6	16.5	4.09
Amar'e Stoudemire	70	70	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.25	0	-10	10	15.5	17.3	-1.84	17.4	18.9	-1.47
Anfernee Hardaway	69	69	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.22	-3	-7	4	14.9	19.7	-4.85	16.9	20.8	-3.92
Stephon Marbury	78	79	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.22	-8	-2	-6	16.0	14.0	2.00	17.5	20.1	-2.69
Shawn Marion	86	86	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	0	-10	15.8	0.0	15.81	17.7	0.0	17.67

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Rice	64	64	0.61	-0.11	0.71	-0.07	23	-13	36	18.3	15.9	2.37	16.5	13.7	2.87
Steve Francis	74	73	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.37	-1	11	-12	17.9	16.4	1.46	15.4	18.0	-2.58
Moochie Norris	18	19	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.20	18	-8	26	18.8	17.4	1.40	20.1	14.6	5.51
Cuttino Mobley	80	80	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.24	3	7	-4	17.2	23.5	-6.26	15.1	24.7	-9.52
Maurice Taylor	48	49	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.16	4	6	-2	18.8	16.3	2.48	15.7	15.9	-0.18
Kelvin Cato	31	33	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.00	9	1	8	18.9	17.0	1.97	16.3	15.5	0.79
Yao Ming	55	53	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.20	1	9	-8	17.0	18.9	-1.97	15.5	16.3	-0.79
Eddie Griffin	38	37	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.05	6	4	2	16.3	18.8	-2.48	15.9	15.7	0.18
James Posey	22	22	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.28	-13	23	-36	15.9	18.3	-2.37	13.7	16.5	-2.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.89,0.89,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 108, UTA 119	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.87,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	94.9%
POR 89, SAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1	94.8%
MIN 101, BOS 109	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.87,0.85,0.76,0.82,0.7,0.87,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.97,1,1	94.6%