NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	89		Excitement	4.8 [899]		MVP	Beno Udrih (SAS): +9.6%
San Antonio Spurs	95		Comeback	1.0 [1235]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): -9.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Miles	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.03	0.02	13	64%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ha Seung-Jin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Richie Frahm	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.00	0.05	10	59%	-0.02	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.03
Travis Outlaw	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	3	62%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Sebastian Telfair	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	13	39%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Viktor Khryapa	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	5	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.03	0.04	11	48%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Ruben Patterson	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	11	54%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	13	35%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.01	6	79%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	-0.00	0.05	16	68%	0.09	1	-0.04	12	50%	-0.06
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	12	46%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Wilks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	14	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	55%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.03
Sean Marks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	6	21%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Robert Horry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	7	31%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	0.01	-0.02	9	40%	-0.02	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	0.7	29.1	16.4	24.5	2.8	41.2	139.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +33.1%

POR -2.5%

SAS +12.8%

SAS +6.5%

SAS +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SAS	NBA	POR	SAS	NBA
this game	15.5	16.1	15.5	94.7	108.0	104.0
season	15.8	16.3		101.2	105.8
opponent	15.6	15.6		98.4	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.7	15.8	14.6	15.9	15.5
SAS	14.1	14.9	20.6	15.4	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Miles	39	37	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.28	9	-15	24	14.2	16.4	-2.21	17.5	15.2	2.31
Richie Frahm	14	13	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	-3	0	19.5	14.8	4.67	15.6	16.2	-0.62
Ha Seung-Jin	6	4	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	1	-8	16.8	15.4	1.40	7.7	16.5	-8.80
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	48	46	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.22	1	-7	8	17.3	13.7	3.66	17.0	15.2	1.74
Damon Stoudamire	76	69	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.33	1	-7	8	15.6	15.1	0.58	16.3	15.5	0.79
Sebastian Telfair	70	67	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-2	-2	14.9	17.4	-2.49	16.1	16.4	-0.37
Travis Outlaw	47	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.26	-2	-4	2	14.7	16.4	-1.72	14.6	17.7	-3.08
Ruben Patterson	52	48	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	4	-14	15.5	15.5	-0.00	17.1	15.0	2.15
Viktor Khryapa	39	35	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	6	-18	14.7	16.1	-1.46	14.7	17.1	-2.47
Joel Przybilla	79	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.30	-3	-3	0	15.7	14.8	0.86	16.4	14.5	1.91

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Manu Ginobili	60	67	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.04	16	-10	26	16.7	15.0	1.63	15.3	16.1	-0.78
Bruce Bowen	76	80	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.28	6	0	6	16.5	13.8	2.68	15.4	16.0	-0.56
Tony Parker	57	62	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.12	8	-2	10	16.2	16.0	0.23	16.0	14.7	1.26
Robert Horry	42	46	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.21	5	1	4	16.0	16.3	-0.24	17.0	14.1	2.98
Nazr Mohammed	58	60	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.25	0	6	-6	16.4	15.7	0.73	15.3	15.9	-0.52
Glenn Robinson	29	30	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	2	2	15.7	16.4	-0.63	14.6	16.0	-1.40
Tony Massenburg	26	30	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.07	5	1	4	15.6	16.4	-0.81	15.9	15.3	0.61
Beno Udrih	33	33	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.23	-3	9	-12	15.8	16.3	-0.53	14.8	15.9	-1.08
Brent Barry	33	35	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.17	-5	11	-16	15.8	16.4	-0.58	15.8	15.4	0.44
Mike Wilks	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	9	-12	1.5	16.5	-14.99	5.5	15.7	-10.24
Sean Marks	24	25	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	9	-12	16.4	16.0	0.37	15.0	15.7	-0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 80, POR 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.57,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.3%
LAC 89, GSW 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.95,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.89,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.94,1,1	95.1%
CHI 105, SAS 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.9,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%