NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	105		Excitement	3.9 [1026]		MVP	Patty Mills (SAS): +14.0%
San Antonio Spurs	116		Comeback	1.2 [1166]		LVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): -9.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	5	86%	0.11	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Nazr Mohammed	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	4	100%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.00	0.04	12	69%	0.08	3	-0.04	8	87%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.04	16	61%	0.06	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
E'Twaun Moore	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.09	10	66%	0.03	4	-0.06	9	100%	0.01
Joakim Noah	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	3	67%	0.02	5	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	6	43%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Snell	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	6	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.01	0.00	9	83%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.20	0.01	0.08	19	70%	0.16	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.01
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.00	-0.01	8	69%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.01	-0.04	20	48%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.03	8	73%	0.10	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.05	4	50%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	7	57%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.13	-0.00	-0.04	8	15%	-0.06	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	3.4	33.1	16.4	27.1	2.8	32.6	140.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +27.1%

SAS +1.4%

CHI -5.2%

SAS +25.6%

SAS +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	SAS	NBA	CHI	SAS	NBA
this game	14.5	14.3	15.1	105.0	116.0	104.2
season	15.5	15.4		105.4	106.9
opponent	14.9	15.2		101.1	102.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.8	15.1	14.8	12.4	14.5
SAS	13.5	12.6	15.8	15.3	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nazr Mohammed	13	16	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.24	9	-20	29	12.8	14.7	-1.90	12.9	14.6	-1.70
Tony Snell	59	58	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.15	-2	-9	7	14.8	14.0	0.76	15.2	13.1	2.08
Mike Dunleavy	58	59	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-6	1	15.1	13.7	1.35	14.8	13.6	1.25
Kirk Hinrich	47	47	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.06	-5	-6	1	14.6	14.4	0.14	12.8	15.7	-2.89
Doug McDermott	26	26	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	-5	-1	14.7	14.4	0.26	13.2	14.7	-1.44
Pau Gasol	68	68	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.10	-6	-5	-1	14.4	14.8	-0.46	14.7	13.4	1.31
Aaron Brooks	53	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-5	-1	14.4	14.6	-0.14	15.7	12.8	2.89
Joakim Noah	59	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	1	-13	15.6	12.9	2.75	14.8	13.7	1.10
E'Twaun Moore	57	57	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-2	-7	13.5	15.8	-2.31	13.4	15.5	-2.17
Nikola Mirotic	60	59	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.04	-13	2	-15	13.9	15.4	-1.46	13.7	15.1	-1.35

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kawhi Leonard	80	80	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.03	17	-6	23	14.5	13.5	1.00	15.1	12.1	2.94
Manu Ginobili	56	56	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.03	14	-3	17	13.3	15.5	-2.22	13.9	15.3	-1.42
Tony Parker	60	62	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.00	11	0	11	14.9	13.4	1.46	15.0	13.7	1.36
Tim Duncan	56	56	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.09	7	4	3	14.3	14.3	0.01	15.5	13.3	2.19
Danny Green	49	50	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.01	7	4	3	15.1	13.5	1.53	15.0	14.0	0.96
Marco Belinelli	41	42	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.18	1	10	-9	14.4	14.2	0.19	13.5	15.2	-1.64
Patty Mills	36	35	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	7	-3	13.3	14.9	-1.60	13.9	14.8	-0.86
Tiago Splitter	44	45	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.04	7	4	3	16.5	12.6	3.89	14.7	14.3	0.34
Aron Baynes	41	39	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.26	-5	16	-21	12.8	15.4	-2.62	13.8	15.0	-1.16
Matt Bonner	19	17	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	12	-13	12.9	14.6	-1.73	12.5	14.9	-2.45
Boris Diaw	10	12	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.04	1	10	-9	13.1	14.4	-1.33	15.8	14.3	1.52
Jeff Ayres	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	15	-19	14.7	14.3	0.47	10.3	14.6	-4.30
Cory Joseph	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	15	-19	14.7	14.3	0.47	10.3	14.6	-4.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.9,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 83, BOS 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.0%
TOR 79, CHH 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.9,0.83,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
SAC 98, DAL 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.89,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.98,1,1	95.7%