NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	80		Excitement	3.8 [1027]		MVP	Qyntel Woods (POR): +5.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	94		Comeback	1.1 [1010]		LVP	Reggie Miller (IND): -8.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brad Miller	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	8	81%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	22	51%	0.02	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Fred Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	1	125%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	11	48%	0.01	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	6	39%	-0.04	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
Ron Mercer	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	15	27%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	7	29%	-0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Qyntel Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	6	62%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.04	6	85%	0.06	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.01
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	14	51%	0.04	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.02
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	19	57%	0.08	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	8	64%	0.04	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.13	-0.00	-0.06	4	25%	-0.02	5	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.8	27.2	14.8	28.8	1.8	30.2	129.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +39.6%

POR +10.0%

POR +0.9%

IND -2.8%

POR +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	POR	NBA	IND	POR	NBA
this game	17.6	15.4	15.5	93.0	105.6	101.6
season	15.4	16.0		102.2	104.3
opponent	15.7	15.5		101.8	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.3	20.6	16.8	15.7	17.6
POR	12.7	14.0	15.2	20.4	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Primoz Brezec	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-17	20	6.0	17.7	-11.71	10.0	15.4	-5.44
Fred Jones	9	8	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.10	2	-16	18	13.9	18.0	-4.11	13.5	15.6	-2.07
Al Harrington	61	63	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.25	4	-18	22	16.6	20.0	-3.37	16.5	12.6	3.96
Jeff Foster	25	26	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.10	-2	-12	10	19.8	16.7	3.09	13.2	16.3	-3.15
Jamaal Tinsley	31	32	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	-5	-4	18.7	16.9	1.73	13.2	16.6	-3.48
Erick Strickland	38	40	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.04	-11	-3	-8	18.1	17.2	0.87	14.7	15.9	-1.15
Metta World Peace	31	33	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	-2	-10	16.5	18.2	-1.75	17.1	14.4	2.72
Brad Miller	39	41	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	-3	-8	18.3	16.9	1.40	13.8	16.7	-2.92
Ron Mercer	60	62	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.12	-7	-7	0	17.3	18.2	-0.95	15.9	14.1	1.82
Jermaine O'Neal	73	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	-1	-12	17.7	17.0	0.67	16.1	11.9	4.15
Reggie Miller	62	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	0	-14	17.8	17.1	0.67	15.8	14.4	1.38

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	71	67	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.08	19	-5	24	15.5	14.9	0.55	17.4	18.2	-0.82
Scottie Pippen	65	62	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.03	14	0	14	14.9	16.6	-1.70	17.8	17.0	0.73
Dale Davis	62	63	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.13	19	-5	24	15.7	14.6	1.08	17.8	16.9	0.96
Derek Anderson	62	60	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.02	11	3	8	15.1	16.1	-1.05	17.2	18.5	-1.33
Damon Stoudamire	37	36	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.01	7	7	0	17.4	14.0	3.37	17.2	17.8	-0.65
Bonzi Wells	49	47	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	12	-10	14.7	16.2	-1.53	17.6	17.5	0.06
Ruben Patterson	11	11	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.09	8	6	2	12.8	15.7	-2.93	17.1	17.6	-0.55
Qyntel Woods	17	16	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.15	0	14	-14	13.9	15.7	-1.85	20.1	17.0	3.14
Zach Randolph	43	41	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.28	-7	21	-28	15.2	15.6	-0.38	17.8	17.4	0.36
Antonio Daniels	28	27	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.14	-3	17	-20	17.0	14.7	2.31	16.7	18.0	-1.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.57,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 120, MIN 131	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.9,0.84,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	96.2%
LAC 73, MIN 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
TOR 92, ATL 110	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%