inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 92 Excitement3.6 [1084] MVPMike Bibby (ATL): +14.3%
Atlanta Hawks 110 Comeback1.0 [947] LVPAnthony Parker (TOR): -11.4%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Kapono0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.030.01-0.071547%0.072-0.0200%0.00
Jermaine O'Neal0.040,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.09-0.010.031074%0.092-0.053100%0.01
Chris Bosh0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.08-0.010.051562%0.082-0.051283%0.02
Jamario Moon0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00350%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Hassan Adams0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kris Humphries-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01445%-0.0000.003100%0.00
Joey Graham-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%-0.0000.00250%0.00
Roko Leni Ukic-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Will Solomon-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.000.02450%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Andrea Bargnani-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.01856%-0.012-0.0100%0.00
Jose Calderon-0.090,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.010.021030%-0.071-0.0200%0.00
Anthony Parker-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.13-0.00-0.02922%-0.063-0.0600%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Bibby0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.140.000.001279%0.161-0.0100%0.00
Joe Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.080.01-0.001071%0.121-0.02475%-0.00
Solomon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.020.002100%0.0700.002100%0.01
Maurice Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.090.000.06979%0.062-0.021100%0.00
Ronald Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.010.021162%0.082-0.05475%-0.00
Al Horford0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.01-0.03650%0.032-0.02250%-0.01
Marvin Williams0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.01-0.000.011450%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Mario West0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Josh Smith0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00650%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Randolph Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.020.000.04475%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.00250%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Acie Law0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.070.00-0.04425%-0.0320.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.12.730.015.628.22.426.5131.5
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +50.6%
TOR -5.3%
ATL +4.1%
TOR -2.3%
ATL +2.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORATLNBATORATLNBA
this game15.914.815.598.9115.8106.4
season15.115.8105.0106.7
opponent16.115.6106.0108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR16.216.015.515.915.9
ATL13.816.014.015.414.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Will Solomon24260.01-0.510.53-0.073-212414.116.5-2.3815.214.60.55
Kris Humphries1313-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-202214.716.1-1.4013.515.0-1.41
Joey Graham2123-0.09-0.410.320.03-4-141014.916.2-1.3414.414.9-0.43
Roko Leni Ukic910-0.12-0.380.26-0.00-4-141016.015.90.1213.914.9-0.96
Andrea Bargnani5051-0.17-0.330.160.04-7-11415.316.6-1.2814.714.8-0.07
Jamario Moon4647-0.18-0.320.15-0.211-192016.015.80.1314.714.8-0.07
Hassan Adams65-0.22-0.280.070.08-10-8-221.215.55.6417.214.62.58
Anthony Parker3940-0.24-0.260.010.05-10-8-216.015.80.2314.115.2-1.09
Jason Kapono5959-0.30-0.20-0.100.17-16-2-1415.716.2-0.5414.714.9-0.26
Jose Calderon6968-0.34-0.16-0.190.07-14-4-1016.414.51.8215.413.22.15
Jermaine O'Neal5659-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.01-13-5-816.315.21.1214.615.0-0.39
Chris Bosh7374-0.47-0.03-0.430.06-180-1816.214.71.4614.914.20.67

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marvin Williams67660.430.070.36-0.2523-52815.313.41.9916.115.30.84
Mike Bibby59590.400.100.30-0.1619-12014.714.9-0.1716.614.71.82
Joe Johnson61620.380.120.27-0.2321-32414.215.7-1.4316.514.61.92
Al Horford28310.360.140.22-0.4327-93615.514.51.0018.314.73.65
Solomon Jones53490.300.200.110.25216-1414.615.0-0.3915.316.5-1.20
Ronald Murray47460.220.28-0.06-0.191441014.714.8-0.1515.216.6-1.46
Josh Smith21220.120.38-0.26-0.03513-814.114.9-0.8516.715.61.09
Maurice Evans49470.100.40-0.290.13-119-2014.814.8-0.0115.216.6-1.37
Acie Law27250.060.44-0.370.18-422-2616.314.12.1514.816.3-1.55
Zaza Pachulia22220.050.45-0.390.08-119-2016.214.31.9116.215.80.38
Randolph Morris30270.040.46-0.430.30-927-3613.415.4-1.9814.116.6-2.56
Mario West1190.030.47-0.450.20-624-3012.015.1-3.1213.216.2-2.96


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 91, MEM 1070.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.9,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%
IND 81, DET 960.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
GSW 93, ORL 1190.5,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.6,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%