NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	120		Excitement	4.5 [948]		MVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN): +24.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	131		Comeback	1.4 [745]		LVP	Paul George (OKC): -2.9%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.17	0.00	0.08	28	60%	0.14	2	-0.04	7	43%	-0.05
Raymond Felton	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.02	6	62%	0.07	3	-0.04	9	33%	-0.05
Dennis Schroder	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	8	70%	0.02	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Nerlens Noel	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	5	30%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terrance Ferguson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Abdel Nader	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.03	9	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Paul George	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0.03	25	44%	-0.02	1	-0.01	7	71%	-0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.23	0.02	0.00	27	64%	0.24	0	0.00	10	80%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.03	-0.01	14	61%	0.14	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	15	56%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Keita Bates-Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	7	76%	0.06	2	-0.04	7	71%	0.01
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	83%	0.07	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	43%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	56%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.6	2.5	25.8	15.4	24.5	2.4	31.5	132.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +31.1%

MIN +6.4%

MIN +10.6%

OKC -1.7%

MIN +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	MIN	NBA	OKC	MIN	NBA
this game	12.8	14.9	14.3	115.4	126.0	109.3
season	12.9	14.4		108.9	110.2
opponent	14.0	14.9		111.8	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	12.1	14.3	13.2	11.7	12.8
MIN	14.5	13.4	15.1	16.5	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nerlens Noel	22	24	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.18	9	-20	29	10.2	13.5	-3.30	15.8	14.6	1.26
Raymond Felton	19	21	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-8	5	13.1	12.8	0.34	16.3	14.5	1.78
Abdel Nader	28	26	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-7	3	12.9	12.8	0.09	15.6	14.6	1.00
Terrance Ferguson	35	36	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	-5	-1	13.1	12.7	0.39	14.4	15.1	-0.73
Dennis Schroder	63	63	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.02	-8	-3	-5	12.8	12.8	0.04	14.2	15.8	-1.59
Markieff Morris	31	32	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.07	-11	0	-11	13.1	12.7	0.34	16.1	14.3	1.77
Russell Westbrook	85	85	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-9	7	12.9	12.7	0.17	14.5	16.5	-1.97
Jerami Grant	75	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.22	-4	-7	3	12.9	12.6	0.33	14.2	16.4	-2.16
Paul George	82	81	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.17	-10	-1	-9	12.6	13.7	-1.14	15.3	13.2	2.12
Steven Adams	80	78	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.03	-16	5	-21	13.4	11.0	2.32	14.7	15.5	-0.85

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Okogie	68	66	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.06	20	-9	29	14.4	15.7	-1.27	12.7	13.1	-0.40
Karl-Anthony Towns	65	64	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.14	9	2	7	15.5	13.9	1.59	13.2	12.2	0.98
Jeff Teague	70	71	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.17	4	7	-3	14.5	15.6	-1.12	13.5	11.4	2.14
Anthony Tolliver	34	34	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.00	9	2	7	15.5	14.6	0.90	12.1	13.2	-1.05
Tyus Jones	34	33	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.01	7	4	3	15.6	14.5	1.12	11.4	13.5	-2.14
Andrew Wiggins	73	73	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.24	-1	12	-13	14.7	15.4	-0.70	12.7	13.2	-0.48
Dario Saric	51	52	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	5	1	14.5	15.2	-0.70	13.7	11.9	1.85
Keita Bates-Diop	25	25	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.02	7	4	3	15.9	14.5	1.39	13.9	12.5	1.39
Gorgui Dieng	14	14	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.02	4	7	-3	12.1	15.3	-3.23	13.6	12.7	0.86
Derrick Rose	42	44	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.19	-4	15	-19	15.3	14.6	0.75	12.7	12.9	-0.25
Taj Gibson	44	44	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.21	-6	17	-23	14.8	14.9	-0.08	11.5	13.8	-2.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.9,0.84,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 80, POR 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.57,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1	96.2%
PHI 76, SAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
DEN 103, UTA 118	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%