NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	103		Excitement	3.5 [1102]		MVP	JJ Hickson (DEN): +14.8%
Utah Jazz	118		Comeback	1.4 [356]		LVP	Ty Lawson (DEN): -9.3%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Hickson	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.20	0.01	0.07	9	87%	0.15	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	10	52%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Kenneth Faried	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.01	7	61%	0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Evan Fournier	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	15	48%	0.05	3	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01
Quincy Miller	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	0.00	0.07	8	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Timofey Mozgov	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	0.01	-0.02	7	19%	-0.05	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ty Lawson	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	18	45%	-0.01	5	-0.09	15	73%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.24	0.02	0.12	19	74%	0.16	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.04
Trey Burke	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.00	-0.05	12	64%	0.12	2	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	3	117%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	12	58%	0.06	2	-0.01	9	56%	-0.03
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.12	0.00	0.07	9	73%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.06	6	58%	0.05	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	10	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Diante Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Lucas III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.3	31.9	15.0	26.0	1.6	34.5	136.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +26.7%

UTA +3.4%

UTA +7.9%

UTA +8.4%

UTA +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	UTA	NBA	DEN	UTA	NBA
this game	13.8	16.7	15.1	109.6	124.2	105.2
season	14.0	16.2		104.5	102.1
opponent	14.8	14.9		109.6	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	15.6	14.3	13.8	11.4	13.8
UTA	14.4	16.3	16.9	19.1	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nate Robinson	31	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.25	3	-18	21	13.5	13.9	-0.39	18.3	15.8	2.46
Wilson Chandler	41	41	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-11	7	13.8	13.8	-0.01	16.8	16.6	0.22
JJ Hickson	59	60	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.04	-8	-7	-1	13.7	14.0	-0.31	17.2	15.7	1.53
Evan Fournier	75	73	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.17	-1	-14	13	13.0	17.1	-4.13	17.0	15.6	1.38
Quincy Miller	44	44	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.21	-15	0	-15	14.8	12.9	1.90	14.7	18.3	-3.59
Randy Foye	33	35	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	-5	-5	14.6	13.4	1.18	17.1	16.4	0.64
Kenneth Faried	65	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.10	-9	-6	-3	13.9	13.6	0.32	15.9	18.4	-2.54
Timofey Mozgov	36	36	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.05	-16	1	-17	14.2	13.6	0.63	17.1	16.4	0.74
Ty Lawson	86	88	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.06	-15	0	-15	13.7	15.4	-1.71	16.5	18.0	-1.45

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	66	66	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.02	17	-2	19	16.6	16.8	-0.20	14.0	13.4	0.54
Trey Burke	73	71	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.06	9	6	3	16.6	16.7	-0.04	13.4	15.0	-1.52
Alec Burks	75	75	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.06	9	6	3	16.1	18.6	-2.47	13.7	14.3	-0.64
Jeremy Evans	31	30	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.09	8	7	1	16.3	16.8	-0.54	13.5	13.9	-0.40
Derrick Favors	70	69	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.02	9	6	3	16.5	17.0	-0.53	14.0	13.4	0.56
Diante Garrett	33	33	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.04	8	7	1	16.9	16.5	0.39	14.5	13.4	1.09
Enes Kanter	42	43	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.09	4	11	-7	18.0	15.6	2.42	12.7	14.7	-1.96
Marvin Williams	47	46	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.07	9	6	3	15.9	17.4	-1.50	14.8	12.9	1.87
John Lucas III	9	9	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	11	-7	20.1	16.3	3.82	15.2	13.7	1.56
Brandon Rush	29	28	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.08	-2	17	-19	16.8	16.6	0.20	13.4	14.0	-0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 86, POR 113	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.87,0.82,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
PHI 99, LAC 130	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
DAL 100, GSW 117	0.5,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%