NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	89		Excitement	5.1 [806]		MVP	Baron Davis (GSW): +16.9%
Golden State Warriors	99		Comeback	1.1 [1075]		LVP	Tim Thomas (LAC): -10.6%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quinton Ross	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Corey Maggette	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.01	0.03	10	61%	0.06	2	-0.04	13	92%	0.05
Jason Hart	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	69%	0.06	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Daniel Ewing	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	75%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Cuttino Mobley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0,0,0	0.03	-0.03	-0.00	12	54%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Chris Kaman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.03	-0.02	4	75%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.09	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.03	13	38%	-0.05	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Tim Thomas	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	16	42%	0.01	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.16	0.04	0.03	10	86%	0.20	3	-0.04	9	100%	0.04
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	-0.02	-0.03	12	67%	0.14	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	10	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	9	46%	0.03	2	-0.03	8	75%	-0.00
Kelenna Azubuike	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	14	43%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	7	44%	-0.00	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	13	50%	0.04	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	6	27%	-0.03	3	-0.06	3	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	2.7	30.8	15.8	29.2	2.0	30.3	138.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +26.1%

LAC -5.6%

GSW +20.4%

GSW +9.1%

LAC -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	GSW	NBA	LAC	GSW	NBA
this game	15.6	14.2	15.4	90.8	104.2	104.5
season	15.7	13.5		103.3	105.7
opponent	15.2	15.4		105.7	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.8	18.1	15.6	15.4	15.6
GSW	12.8	13.8	13.8	16.6	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quinton Ross	26	25	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.04	3	-13	16	14.8	15.9	-1.11	16.3	13.4	2.88
Chris Kaman	40	36	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.05	1	-11	12	15.4	15.7	-0.29	15.3	13.5	1.74
Daniel Ewing	38	36	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.28	6	-16	22	15.4	15.7	-0.33	15.2	13.6	1.69
Sam Cassell	10	10	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.02	-9	-1	-8	18.6	15.3	3.32	11.5	14.5	-3.02
Tim Thomas	82	79	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	-7	4	15.5	16.1	-0.60	14.0	15.2	-1.26
Corey Maggette	69	67	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.01	-14	4	-18	16.2	14.2	2.01	13.6	15.6	-2.00
Elton Brand	69	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.14	-10	0	-10	15.5	15.9	-0.34	13.7	15.4	-1.69
Jason Hart	62	62	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.03	-15	5	-20	15.3	16.2	-0.86	14.1	14.5	-0.39
Cuttino Mobley	94	92	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.24	-9	-1	-8	15.6	15.7	-0.13	14.1	16.0	-1.86

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baron Davis	54	55	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.07	18	-8	26	14.1	14.4	-0.29	16.7	14.2	2.48
Monta Ellis	69	70	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.18	8	2	6	14.7	13.0	1.71	15.5	15.8	-0.28
Adonal Foyle	38	41	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.01	11	-1	12	14.4	14.0	0.41	17.1	14.6	2.54
Matt Barnes	60	61	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.00	11	-1	12	14.5	13.7	0.72	15.8	15.3	0.52
Kelenna Azubuike	16	17	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.02	10	0	10	13.6	14.3	-0.69	18.2	15.1	3.09
Al Harrington	71	74	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.28	-2	12	-14	13.8	15.5	-1.74	14.8	18.2	-3.37
Andris Biedrins	57	57	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.20	-1	11	-12	14.0	14.4	-0.41	14.6	17.1	-2.54
Stephen Jackson	77	79	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.22	-2	12	-14	14.0	15.1	-1.12	15.0	18.1	-3.01
Jason Richardson	33	36	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	13	-16	14.7	14.0	0.72	15.6	15.7	-0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.95,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.89,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 89, SAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1	95.1%
CLE 92, LAL 97	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.71,0.83,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.83,0.72,0.69,0.76,0.82,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1	94.9%
LAC 87, BOS 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.98,1,1	94.4%