NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	92		Excitement	5.4 [581]		MVP	Matt Barnes (LAL): +8.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	97		Comeback	1.3 [979]		LVP	Alonzo Gee (CLE): -12.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ramon Sessions	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.08,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	7	60%	0.07	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Kyrie Irving	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	16	60%	0.07	4	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Omri Casspi	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	55%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tristan Thompson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	9	45%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Semih Erden	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	37%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Anthony Parker	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	7	29%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.01	-0.05	0.05	7	55%	-0.03	2	-0.07	6	83%	-0.00
Daniel Gibson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	10	45%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.02	0.02	16	28%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	3	-0.13	2	50%	-0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.02	10	60%	0.10	2	-0.01	5	100%	0.03
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	-0.02	-0.03	31	58%	0.17	6	-0.09	10	80%	-0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.01	16	56%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Josh McRoberts	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Andrew Goudelock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.03	0.03	9	75%	0.06	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
Devin Ebanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.5	30.3	15.8	28.2	2.6	40.5	142.3
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +45.2%

LAL +2.1%

CLE -19.5%

LAL +21.8%

LAL +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	LAL	NBA	CLE	LAL	NBA
this game	14.4	14.6	15.6	92.9	97.0	102.8
season	15.5	16.2		99.5	103.8
opponent	15.1	15.6		103.5	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.7	16.5	14.0	13.5	14.4
LAL	15.1	14.8	14.2	14.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Semih Erden	37	37	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-7	9	14.5	14.3	0.18	15.9	13.8	2.10
Tristan Thompson	37	38	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.17	4	-9	13	14.7	14.2	0.57	15.7	13.9	1.84
Ramon Sessions	38	41	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-6	7	14.4	14.4	0.03	16.0	13.6	2.38
Alonzo Gee	39	41	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.18	2	-7	9	14.6	14.2	0.44	15.7	13.8	1.93
Daniel Gibson	51	53	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.36	5	-10	15	14.4	14.3	0.08	14.4	14.8	-0.37
Omri Casspi	45	44	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.01	-8	3	-11	14.3	14.4	-0.16	14.7	14.5	0.24
Kyrie Irving	61	59	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.22	-6	1	-7	14.4	14.4	-0.03	13.6	16.0	-2.38
Anthony Parker	63	62	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.16	-9	4	-13	14.2	14.6	-0.37	13.9	15.7	-1.84
Antawn Jamison	62	62	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.18	-9	4	-13	14.2	14.7	-0.57	13.9	15.7	-1.84
Anderson Varejao	62	63	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.26	-7	2	-9	14.3	14.5	-0.18	13.8	15.9	-2.10

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	87	86	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.30	11	-6	17	13.8	19.5	-5.62	14.2	15.6	-1.43
Andrew Bynum	70	69	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.21	13	-8	21	14.0	15.8	-1.80	14.2	14.7	-0.47
Matt Barnes	65	67	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.26	5	0	5	13.5	16.6	-3.12	14.4	14.3	0.09
Derek Fisher	63	64	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	2	1	13.7	16.0	-2.27	14.5	14.1	0.49
Pau Gasol	78	78	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.33	-3	8	-11	14.1	16.2	-2.12	14.7	13.2	1.50
Troy Murphy	42	42	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	3	-1	16.6	13.1	3.53	14.5	14.2	0.30
Darius Morris	38	36	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.18	-2	7	-9	15.6	13.9	1.71	13.8	14.7	-0.89
Devin Ebanks	35	32	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	5	-5	16.6	13.5	3.12	14.3	14.4	-0.09
Josh McRoberts	9	8	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	3	-1	14.7	14.6	0.11	12.7	14.5	-1.77
Jason Kapono	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	5	-5	16.0	14.5	1.54	18.4	14.1	4.36
Andrew Goudelock	6	6	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.05	-6	11	-17	23.5	14.0	9.50	12.3	14.5	-2.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.71,0.83,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.83,0.72,0.69,0.76,0.82,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 89, GSW 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.95,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.89,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.94,1,1	94.9%
CHI 91, IND 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.74,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.89,0.97,0.96,1,1	93.7%
ATL 106, LAL 116	0.5,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.9,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.95,0.99,0.93,0.94,1,1,1	93.7%