NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	106		Excitement	5.0 [794]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +7.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	116		Comeback	1.3 [945]		LVP	Elden Campbell (LAL): -9.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dikembe Mutombo	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	80%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chris Crawford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Miller	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	15	62%	0.09	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.02
Chucky Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	7	47%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.02
Ed Gray	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	0.04	18	53%	0.03	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Alan Henderson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	13	45%	-0.02	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.02
Christian Laettner	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	17	52%	-0.03	3	-0.05	8	87%	-0.00
Eldridge Recasner	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Corbin	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	9	22%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	8	75%	0.11	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	14	63%	0.07	0	0.00	7	29%	-0.07
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.09	0.00	0.06	21	55%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	15	61%	0.08	3	-0.05	6	67%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	8	42%	-0.03	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	5	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.03	16	42%	-0.07	2	-0.02	4	25%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.7	25.1	15.8	26.2	2.3	26.5	123.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +29.9%

ATL -5.3%

LAL +4.2%

LAL +19.7%

LAL +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	LAL	NBA	ATL	LAL	NBA
this game	15.9	13.5	15.6	108.2	118.4	102.5
season	16.1	14.8		105.3	110.0
opponent	15.6	16.0		102.6	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	19.7	17.2	13.3	14.4	15.9
LAL	15.2	12.8	12.0	14.4	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mookie Blaylock	10	9	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-11	12	16.1	15.9	0.22	18.6	13.0	5.60
Anthony Miller	6	7	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.10	4	-14	18	9.0	16.3	-7.35	10.4	13.7	-3.27
Chris Crawford	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-12	14	4.0	16.1	-12.15	6.7	13.7	-7.02
Chucky Brown	23	24	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	-5	0	17.2	15.5	1.67	12.8	13.7	-0.84
Tyrone Corbin	64	63	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-5	0	16.1	15.6	0.52	13.3	13.7	-0.34
Ed Gray	56	56	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.22	-2	-8	6	15.4	16.6	-1.18	13.4	13.6	-0.26
Eldridge Recasner	54	56	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.09	-7	-3	-4	14.9	17.2	-2.29	12.3	15.0	-2.76
Christian Laettner	72	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.14	-6	-4	-2	15.9	15.9	0.02	13.9	12.4	1.47
Dikembe Mutombo	49	48	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.07	-14	4	-18	18.3	13.5	4.82	13.9	13.1	0.84
Alan Henderson	65	65	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.15	-8	-2	-6	15.4	16.9	-1.57	13.4	13.7	-0.30
Steven Smith	89	88	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.15	-10	0	-10	16.1	13.4	2.70	14.0	8.6	5.42

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	48	47	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.07	16	-6	22	12.7	14.2	-1.53	17.5	14.5	3.02
Nick Van Exel	70	70	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.06	16	-6	22	13.4	13.6	-0.24	16.5	14.3	2.26
Kobe Bryant	54	53	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.10	9	1	8	12.0	15.3	-3.31	15.2	16.7	-1.54
Eddie Jones	76	76	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.09	8	2	6	13.9	12.0	1.95	15.6	17.0	-1.48
Rick Fox	66	67	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.21	3	7	-4	14.2	12.0	2.18	16.8	13.9	2.96
Robert Horry	68	69	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	5	0	13.6	13.3	0.29	16.1	15.4	0.74
Elden Campbell	59	60	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	12	-14	14.1	12.5	1.67	15.0	17.3	-2.36
Sean Rooks	21	20	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.05	1	9	-8	13.1	13.6	-0.48	14.2	16.3	-2.13
Derek Fisher	28	28	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.15	-6	16	-22	13.6	13.4	0.24	14.3	16.5	-2.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.9,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.95,0.99,0.93,0.94,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 82, CHI 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.0%
CHA 100, BOS 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.93,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.99,1	94.8%
MIA 95, WAS 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%