NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	113		Excitement	7.1 [388]		MVP	Wilson Chandler (DEN): +13.8%
Washington Wizards	119		Comeback	1.1 [602]		LVP	Ty Lawson (DEN): -11.9%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wilson Chandler	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.04	0.03	15	63%	0.14	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
JaVale McGee	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	5	56%	0.07	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Andre Miller	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.07,0.05	0.09	-0.03	0.01	11	73%	0.08	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.05
Kenneth Faried	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	67%	0.09	4	-0.10	2	0%	-0.03
Corey Brewer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	10	55%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Kosta Koufos	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	6	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Danilo Gallinari	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Ty Lawson	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.15,-0.11,-0.02,-0.12	0.03	-0.12	0.03	20	52%	-0.06	2	-0.05	12	92%	0.05

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.03	-0.01	9	67%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	12	62%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.06	0.00	11	54%	0.11	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.00	11	62%	0.10	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	60%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.01	14	52%	0.02	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.10
Chris Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.02	8	63%	0.05	3	-0.06	11	82%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.05	0.01	12	50%	0.10	6	-0.16	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.8	33.3	16.4	29.1	2.4	40.5	147.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +63.7%

DEN -26.9%

WAS +27.4%

DEN -13.7%

DEN -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	WAS	NBA	DEN	WAS	NBA
this game	12.2	16.0	15.4	110.8	116.7	104.1
season	14.4	15.1		108.4	98.8
opponent	15.7	15.4		101.2	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	12.4	13.1	13.0	10.4	12.2
WAS	15.3	16.9	15.8	16.2	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wilson Chandler	59	60	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.24	11	-17	28	10.8	14.1	-3.34	16.3	15.6	0.73
Corey Brewer	51	51	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.16	8	-14	22	10.7	13.6	-2.92	17.2	14.9	2.37
JaVale McGee	42	43	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.10	-4	-2	-2	11.0	13.0	-1.94	17.0	15.4	1.64
Kosta Koufos	38	38	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.06	-10	4	-14	13.6	11.3	2.30	15.1	16.6	-1.50
Andre Miller	60	59	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.37	4	-10	14	11.2	13.6	-2.48	16.4	15.6	0.85
Andre Iguodala	71	71	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.17	-8	2	-10	12.8	10.7	2.07	16.0	16.1	-0.07
Kenneth Faried	48	48	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.21	-7	1	-8	13.8	10.7	3.07	15.5	16.5	-1.00
Ty Lawson	82	81	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.25	-10	4	-14	12.5	11.0	1.41	15.7	17.5	-1.80
Danilo Gallinari	59	59	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.20	-14	8	-22	13.3	10.7	2.65	15.2	17.2	-1.93

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bradley Beal	79	80	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.14	12	-6	18	15.8	17.0	-1.28	12.8	10.0	2.79
Nene	62	62	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.35	2	4	-2	16.8	14.9	1.89	12.9	11.1	1.75
Emeka Okafor	56	56	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.06	15	-9	24	15.2	17.1	-1.93	13.6	10.5	3.03
Trevor Ariza	58	60	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.32	1	5	-4	16.1	16.0	0.09	11.0	13.9	-2.88
John Wall	70	69	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.27	1	5	-4	15.7	16.7	-1.02	12.4	11.8	0.63
Martell Webster	75	75	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.41	-5	11	-16	15.8	16.7	-0.89	12.1	12.5	-0.45
A.J. Price	34	34	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.11	5	1	4	17.0	15.6	1.47	11.7	12.4	-0.68
Trevor Booker	32	29	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.00	4	2	2	15.8	16.1	-0.30	11.5	12.5	-0.98
Garrett Temple	4	3	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.10	6	0	6	17.7	16.0	1.77	11.7	12.2	-0.54
Chris Singleton	26	28	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.12	-6	12	-18	16.3	16.0	0.35	11.4	12.5	-1.14
Kevin Seraphin	14	14	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	11	-16	17.7	15.8	1.93	9.3	12.6	-3.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.63,0.72,0.83,0.87,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.92,0.93,0.87,0.76,0.9,0.76,0.85,0.78,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 109, LAC 115	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.98,0.92,1	93.0%
MEM 81, MIN 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.84,0.91,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.81,0.95,0.99,1,1	92.8%
MIA 78, IND 82	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.89,0.93,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.98,0.94,0.96,0.83,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.73,1	92.8%