NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	109		Excitement	6.2 [617]		MVP	Danilo Gallinari (LAC): +21.7%
LA Clippers	115		Comeback	1.1 [1055]		LVP	Domantas Sabonis (IND): -5.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug McDermott	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	12	71%	0.13	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	9	61%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	12	61%	0.11	4	-0.08	7	71%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	8	56%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02	0.01	-0.02	-0.03	16	54%	0.08	3	-0.06	3	33%	-0.01
Aaron Holiday	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Wesley Matthews	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	12	46%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Cory Joseph	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.04	0.02	11	52%	0.01	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.10	0.11	-0.01	17	63%	0.26	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.06	0.01	9	71%	0.17	0	0.00	6	67%	0.01
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.05	-0.01	9	56%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	6	75%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	12	62%	0.10	2	-0.05	8	50%	-0.06
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sindarius Thornwell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.01	-0.04	14	33%	0.01	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Landry Shamet	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	75%	0.09	5	-0.14	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	0.2	25.5	15.4	24.5	2.5	37.5	131.9
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +32.6%

IND -0.3%

LAC +2.9%

LAC +15.4%

IND -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	LAC	NBA	IND	LAC	NBA
this game	12.9	14.3	14.3	100.9	110.6	109.3
season	14.5	13.9		108.4	111.3
opponent	14.1	14.6		110.7	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.7	11.4	14.6	12.0	12.9
LAC	14.0	13.0	14.2	16.4	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Holiday	34	31	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.17	9	-15	24	12.1	13.2	-1.09	13.3	14.8	-1.54
Doug McDermott	60	56	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-6	6	12.9	12.8	0.05	13.3	15.5	-2.20
Cory Joseph	48	46	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	0	-6	12.6	13.1	-0.54	13.7	14.9	-1.23
Domantas Sabonis	61	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.36	3	-9	12	13.1	12.5	0.62	14.7	13.8	0.86
Bojan Bogdanovic	81	78	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.33	1	-7	8	13.2	12.0	1.20	14.4	14.0	0.40
Tyreke Evans	62	61	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.35	-1	-5	4	13.0	12.7	0.25	15.2	13.1	2.12
Thaddeus Young	68	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.19	-7	1	-8	12.2	13.9	-1.73	15.0	13.1	1.99
Myles Turner	59	55	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.03	-16	10	-26	13.4	12.2	1.13	14.2	14.5	-0.37
Wesley Matthews	67	66	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.11	-13	7	-20	12.9	12.8	0.17	14.3	14.3	0.03

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Beverley	67	69	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.18	9	-3	12	15.1	12.9	2.16	12.6	13.3	-0.74
Lou Williams	54	57	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.21	6	0	6	13.6	15.1	-1.43	12.9	12.8	0.15
Montrezl Harrell	63	68	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.30	3	3	0	14.0	14.8	-0.77	12.4	13.6	-1.17
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	62	64	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.16	6	0	6	15.1	13.2	1.96	12.2	13.7	-1.50
Danilo Gallinari	65	67	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.15	6	0	6	15.6	12.3	3.33	12.5	13.4	-0.89
Wilson Chandler	28	30	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.13	2	4	-2	12.2	15.1	-2.90	13.6	12.6	1.07
JaMychal Green	39	41	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.18	0	6	-6	12.3	15.6	-3.33	13.4	12.5	0.89
Ivica Zubac	41	40	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.03	3	3	0	14.8	14.0	0.77	13.6	12.4	1.17
Landry Shamet	62	62	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.12	-1	7	-8	15.2	13.1	2.08	13.5	12.0	1.50
Garrett Temple	37	39	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.15	-3	9	-12	12.9	15.1	-2.16	13.3	12.6	0.74
Sindarius Thornwell	2	3	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	7	-8	12.0	14.4	-2.38	3.7	13.1	-9.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.98,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 109, DEN 117	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.77,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.94,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.9,0.85,0.98,0.99,1	94.2%
ATL 86, CHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
MIN 111, HOU 116	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.61,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.7,0.83,0.92,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.82,0.88,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.99,0.99,1	94.1%