NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	111		Excitement	5.7 [687]		MVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN): +18.4%
Houston Rockets	116		Comeback	1.1 [1203]		LVP	Gorgui Dieng (MIN): -6.4%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.18	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18	0.16	0.03	0.00	22	63%	0.21	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Shabazz Muhammad	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.00	7	75%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Andrew Wiggins	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	12	75%	0.16	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Adreian Payne	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.02	0.04	9	74%	0.07	5	-0.13	1	100%	0.01
Zach LaVine	-0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	0.04	-0.03	0.06	15	50%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	11	43%	-0.05	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donatas Motiejunas	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.04	0.00	12	71%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.08	0.02	10	58%	0.12	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.03	0.02	14	61%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	5	80%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.02	10	82%	0.14	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	7	62%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.05
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.03	20	66%	0.22	9	-0.23	4	100%	0.02
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
KJ McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	25.6	15.8	25.2	1.8	32.0	125.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +65.8%

MIN -12.5%

HOU +10.7%

MIN -15.3%

HOU +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	HOU	NBA	MIN	HOU	NBA
this game	15.1	14.9	14.9	115.6	120.8	105.1
season	14.8	14.0		104.8	105.9
opponent	15.1	15.0		106.9	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.8	17.6	16.5	13.1	15.1
HOU	15.6	17.5	12.3	14.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Smith	14	13	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.06	6	-11	17	13.4	15.4	-2.07	19.8	14.1	5.75
Shabazz Muhammad	33	33	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.17	7	-12	19	16.0	14.7	1.29	16.3	14.1	2.22
Adreian Payne	11	11	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.04	2	-7	9	17.5	14.8	2.73	16.2	14.7	1.48
Tyus Jones	28	29	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.19	7	-12	19	15.1	15.1	-0.03	17.6	13.7	3.84
Tayshaun Prince	23	24	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.14	4	-9	13	16.3	14.8	1.49	16.5	14.3	2.22
Gorgui Dieng	73	75	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.19	-9	4	-13	15.2	14.9	0.28	14.2	17.4	-3.21
Andrew Wiggins	75	76	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.21	-9	4	-13	14.9	16.1	-1.24	14.1	17.9	-3.82
Ricky Rubio	68	67	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.16	-12	7	-19	15.1	15.1	0.03	13.7	17.6	-3.84
Karl-Anthony Towns	82	81	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.33	-9	4	-13	14.9	16.4	-1.44	14.6	16.1	-1.49
Zach LaVine	73	71	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.27	-12	7	-19	14.8	16.1	-1.32	14.4	16.3	-1.90

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	79	79	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.24	10	-5	15	14.2	17.9	-3.73	14.8	16.8	-1.99
Patrick Beverley	71	70	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.16	12	-7	19	14.6	15.8	-1.20	15.7	13.5	2.28
Donatas Motiejunas	56	55	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.23	9	-4	13	14.5	15.3	-0.81	14.3	16.3	-2.00
Trevor Ariza	73	71	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.18	9	-4	13	14.1	17.3	-3.14	15.2	15.0	0.17
Dwight Howard	56	57	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.02	12	-7	19	15.3	14.3	0.99	16.4	13.3	3.06
KJ McDaniels	10	11	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.11	2	3	-1	13.9	15.0	-1.09	17.1	14.9	2.22
Clint Capela	30	29	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.22	-3	8	-11	14.3	15.1	-0.79	14.8	15.3	-0.48
Michael Beasley	50	51	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.27	-8	13	-21	15.1	14.6	0.51	14.8	15.4	-0.60
Jason Terry	42	43	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.31	-12	17	-29	16.6	13.5	3.14	14.8	15.4	-0.65
Corey Brewer	13	14	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.06	-6	11	-17	19.8	14.1	5.75	13.4	15.4	-2.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.61,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.7,0.83,0.92,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.82,0.88,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 109, LAC 115	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.98,0.92,1	94.1%
DAL 108, PHX 123	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.64,0.65,0.78,0.86,0.8,0.71,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.0%
CHH 87, ORL 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1	93.8%