NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	81		Excitement	5.5 [707]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (MIN): +8.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	92		Comeback	1.1 [1205]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -21.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Will Solomon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	12	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.01	17	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	12	48%	-0.06	1	-0.03	9	67%	-0.04
Pau Gasol	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	18	41%	-0.10	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
Shane Battier	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	14	31%	-0.12	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.01
Grant Long	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.00	17	68%	0.18	4	-0.10	4	75%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	8	56%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	0.00	13	47%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	11	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.13	-0.05	0.04	22	35%	-0.22	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.3	24.6	16.3	23.4	1.5	31.5	121.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +33.9%

MEM -1.8%

MIN +18.5%

MEM -5.9%

MIN +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	MIN	NBA	MEM	MIN	NBA
this game	16.8	15.4	15.6	91.0	102.2	102.3
season	15.7	15.0		96.0	106.7
opponent	16.1	15.2		103.8	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	20.5	15.4	17.5	14.3	16.8
MIN	14.8	13.4	17.6	16.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Solomon	11	13	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-12	13	15.5	16.9	-1.49	14.8	15.5	-0.67
Rodney Buford	54	55	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-10	9	16.2	17.6	-1.33	16.2	14.2	1.95
Grant Long	44	45	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	-4	-3	17.3	16.2	1.10	14.6	16.2	-1.60
Stromile Swift	54	53	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	-5	-1	16.7	16.9	-0.20	16.8	13.5	3.29
Tony Massenburg	43	44	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	0	-11	17.5	16.0	1.49	14.0	16.8	-2.87
Pau Gasol	79	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	-7	3	16.6	18.4	-1.84	15.6	13.8	1.83
Jason Williams	80	80	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.10	-13	2	-15	16.8	16.6	0.23	15.2	17.0	-1.77
Shane Battier	80	80	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.14	-14	3	-17	16.8	16.3	0.48	15.3	16.0	-0.65

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chauncey Billups	77	75	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.13	16	-5	21	14.7	19.5	-4.81	16.8	16.8	-0.03
Kevin Garnett	77	75	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.07	18	-7	25	15.1	17.3	-2.20	16.7	16.9	-0.20
Rasho Nesterovic	60	61	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.05	16	-5	21	15.4	15.4	-0.02	17.1	16.1	0.96
Sam Mitchell	52	51	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.07	11	0	11	14.5	16.7	-2.23	16.2	17.6	-1.42
Wally Szczerbiak	59	59	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.06	6	5	1	15.6	15.0	0.59	17.0	16.3	0.70
Felipe Lopez	26	27	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.00	6	5	1	16.0	15.2	0.76	17.7	16.4	1.30
Anthony Peeler	37	35	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	10	-9	14.8	15.8	-1.04	16.7	16.8	-0.03
Joe Smith	23	23	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.12	-5	16	-21	17.2	14.8	2.41	17.2	16.6	0.55
Gary Trent	26	25	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.21	-9	20	-29	16.5	15.0	1.57	15.5	17.3	-1.79
Robert Pack	13	14	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	16	-21	19.5	14.7	4.81	16.8	16.8	0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.84,0.91,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.81,0.95,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 83, ATL 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.99,0.98,0.95,1	94.9%
WAS 101, CLE 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.79,0.77,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.3%
GSW 105, CHI 119	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%