NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	99		Excitement	5.7 [648]		MVP	Zach Randolph (MEM): +14.2%
Utah Jazz	86		Comeback	4.7 [206]		LVP	Jamaal Tinsley (UTA): -14.8%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.04	-0.02	16	68%	0.24	4	-0.10	5	100%	0.03
Marc Gasol	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.04	-0.02	10	55%	0.12	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.02
Quincy Pondexter	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Wayne Ellington	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	7	44%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marreese Speights	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	7	29%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0.04	13	48%	0.00	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Hamed Haddadi	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	11	48%	-0.03	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	5	57%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.11	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.02	8	57%	0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	9	39%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	8	52%	0.03	3	-0.08	5	80%	-0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	6	43%	0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.05	0.04	17	55%	0.02	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	0.00	8	19%	-0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.3	26.9	15.4	28.0	1.8	29.2	128.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +17.1%

MEM +10.4%

MEM +14.9%

MEM +8.8%

UTA -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	UTA	NBA	MEM	UTA	NBA
this game	16.5	15.3	15.4	110.0	94.5	104.1
season	16.5	16.0		102.9	104.6
opponent	15.1	15.5		105.0	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	17.2	16.2	14.3	18.3	16.5
UTA	14.8	13.8	18.2	14.4	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	69	69	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.06	19	-6	25	16.5	16.7	-0.16	15.7	13.9	1.82
Mike Conley	69	69	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.06	19	-6	25	16.5	16.7	-0.16	15.7	13.9	1.82
Marc Gasol	60	62	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.03	16	-3	19	17.2	15.2	2.07	15.6	14.6	1.03
Tony Allen	55	54	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.01	17	-4	21	16.7	16.3	0.47	15.9	14.4	1.57
Rudy Gay	65	65	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.07	17	-4	21	17.0	15.4	1.53	15.2	15.4	-0.14
Quincy Pondexter	31	33	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.10	-1	14	-15	15.9	16.9	-0.93	14.5	15.7	-1.21
Hamed Haddadi	22	22	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	16	-19	16.5	16.6	-0.06	14.7	15.5	-0.80
Wayne Ellington	29	30	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.21	-7	20	-27	15.9	16.9	-0.96	15.1	15.4	-0.33
Jerryd Bayless	21	22	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.06	-6	19	-25	16.7	16.5	0.16	13.9	15.7	-1.82
Marreese Speights	29	29	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.05	-6	19	-25	15.2	17.2	-1.92	14.0	15.9	-1.89

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Enes Kanter	29	29	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.09	6	-19	25	14.4	15.7	-1.28	16.0	16.8	-0.80
Jamaal Tinsley	34	33	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-17	21	14.6	15.7	-1.16	15.9	16.9	-1.00
Randy Foye	41	43	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.17	-7	-6	-1	15.3	15.3	0.01	17.2	15.9	1.32
Paul Millsap	54	55	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	-8	3	15.1	15.6	-0.47	17.5	15.1	2.34
DeMarre Carroll	41	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.21	3	-16	19	14.3	16.1	-1.85	16.4	16.6	-0.17
Marvin Williams	42	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-11	-2	-9	17.2	13.6	3.63	16.1	16.9	-0.80
Derrick Favors	37	35	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.16	-8	-5	-3	15.6	15.1	0.47	15.1	17.5	-2.34
Mo Williams	57	57	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.00	-17	4	-21	15.7	14.6	1.16	16.9	15.9	1.00
Gordon Hayward	58	55	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	-2	-9	14.6	16.5	-1.93	16.4	16.8	-0.37
Al Jefferson	62	61	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.03	-19	6	-25	15.7	14.4	1.28	16.8	16.0	0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 91, MIA 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0	93.9%
ORL 101, SEA 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.55,0.52,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.15,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	93.7%
ATL 114, NYK 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.78,0.83,0.8,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.22,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.6%