inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 91 Excitement6.3 [544] MVPShawne Williams (MIA): +18.8%
Miami Heat 84 Comeback3.8 [147] LVPChris Bosh (MIA): -22.4%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brandon Knight0.140,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.140.080.080.021371%0.233-0.092100%0.02
Khris Middleton0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.040.05-0.00759%0.121-0.043100%0.03
Zaza Pachulia0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.010.06-0.00958%0.132-0.051100%0.01
O.J. Mayo0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07-0.000.05-0.02847%0.071-0.0010%-0.01
Nate Wolters0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.010.04-0.01243%0.0500.00333%-0.03
Larry Sanders0.040,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.01-0.001048%0.0400.00333%-0.04
Ersan Ilyasova0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jared Dudley-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Jabari Parker-0.040,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.03-0.040.031150%-0.0400.00475%-0.00
John Henson-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.0010%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Jerryd Bayless-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07-0.05-0.010.01325%-0.051-0.022100%0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo-0.130,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.08-0.05-0.00848%0.015-0.14743%-0.02

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shawne Williams0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.190.190.100.09-0.00972%0.1900.0000%0.00
James Ennis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.000.00675%0.0700.0000%0.00
Shabazz Napier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.020.00583%0.103-0.11250%-0.01
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.04-0.030.041360%0.063-0.09475%-0.01
Norris Cole0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.020.000.011055%0.073-0.1000%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.010.00250%0.002-0.0500%0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.030.00025%-0.022-0.07425%-0.05
Luol Deng0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.03-0.001138%-0.042-0.06475%-0.00
Chris Bosh0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.2,-0.17,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.22-0.20-0.05-0.021724%-0.192-0.04862%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.52.531.415.426.62.536.4138.3
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +14.1%
MIL +15.4%
MIL +9.7%
MIL +10.2%
MIL +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILMIANBAMILMIANBA
this game14.016.815.196.890.3104.2
season14.516.0100.5102.4
opponent15.315.7105.4101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL16.113.810.715.814.0
MIA17.416.217.416.216.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brandon Knight68660.440.060.380.1111-41513.515.2-1.6517.215.91.31
Giannis Antetokounmpo66630.400.100.300.149-21113.315.7-2.4417.016.40.62
Larry Sanders42420.380.120.260.0611-41512.914.9-1.9416.317.2-0.93
Jabari Parker66650.380.120.260.119-21113.515.1-1.6317.016.40.61
Khris Middleton40400.310.190.120.078-1913.014.7-1.6517.316.40.89
Jerryd Bayless32320.260.240.020.2316-515.713.12.6115.917.3-1.44
Zaza Pachulia47470.250.25-0.000.1925-314.613.41.2817.216.40.76
O.J. Mayo33340.130.37-0.230.19-29-1115.213.31.9116.816.8-0.04
Ersan Ilyasova23240.090.41-0.330.15-29-1115.713.52.2415.817.2-1.33
Nate Wolters29280.070.43-0.360.13-29-1113.914.0-0.1016.816.80.01
Jared Dudley1920-0.080.58-0.660.04-411-1514.813.81.0616.017.0-0.98
John Henson54-0.130.63-0.750.05-613-1917.013.83.1717.716.80.97

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Udonis Haslem16140.09-0.590.69-0.024-111518.416.51.8813.314.1-0.84
Shabazz Napier4847-0.16-0.340.17-0.222-91117.715.81.8814.913.11.83
James Ennis5050-0.24-0.260.02-0.18-2-5316.916.80.0912.815.4-2.61
Luol Deng7172-0.25-0.250.01-0.22-1-6516.318.5-2.2014.014.00.06
Chris Andersen3839-0.25-0.250.00-0.16-3-4117.216.50.6714.114.00.09
Mario Chalmers6568-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.11-92-1117.515.32.1914.213.40.80
Norris Cole5152-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.15-81-915.917.9-2.0313.714.3-0.56
Shawne Williams5152-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.11-114-1516.417.3-0.9014.613.31.33
Chris Bosh7576-0.500.00-0.51-0.30-70-716.518.2-1.6713.914.4-0.55


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 99, UTA 860.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,093.9%
HOU 96, UTA 850.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.77,0.7,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.33,0.44,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.21,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.02,0,093.4%
LAL 101, CLE 910.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.61,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.02,0,093.4%