NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	96		Excitement	6.1 [635]		MVP	Luc Mbah a Moute (HOU): +22.6%
Utah Jazz	85		Comeback	5.7 [291]		LVP	Donovan Mitchell (UTA): -24.0%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.22,0.23,0.23	0.20	0.07	0.04	7	113%	0.23	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
James Harden	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.04	13	68%	0.18	6	-0.13	12	75%	-0.00
Joe Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	6	58%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	13	50%	0.02	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Trevor Ariza	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	13	35%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	53%	0.05	3	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Tarik Black	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	8	47%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Gerald Green	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	7	12%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.01	0.03	8	81%	0.13	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Ricky Rubio	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.03	-0.02	10	58%	0.12	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	70%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	0.00	6	37%	0.01	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	15	35%	-0.08	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.15	-0.09	-0.01	15	47%	-0.05	8	-0.19	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.6	31.4	14.6	26.3	2.4	28.7	130.4
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +15.3%

HOU +4.2%

HOU +5.2%

HOU +24.1%

HOU +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	UTA	NBA	HOU	UTA	NBA
this game	16.1	14.6	14.7	102.1	90.4	107.5
season	14.6	15.1		112.8	106.6
opponent	14.6	14.8		103.3	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.5	16.7	16.3	15.9	16.1
UTA	16.5	15.3	15.7	11.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luc Mbah a Moute	60	61	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.19	16	-5	21	14.8	18.4	-3.55	13.8	16.0	-2.23
James Harden	70	68	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.07	15	-4	19	15.5	17.7	-2.12	14.9	13.7	1.19
Nene	42	43	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.19	10	1	9	13.4	18.3	-4.93	14.0	15.0	-1.02
Joe Johnson	60	61	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.31	5	6	-1	16.1	16.0	0.13	13.2	17.1	-3.96
Chris Paul	65	65	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.05	15	-4	19	16.4	15.3	1.12	15.0	13.4	1.60
Gerald Green	30	30	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.21	-3	14	-17	16.9	15.7	1.15	14.9	14.4	0.56
Trevor Ariza	64	63	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.08	0	11	-11	16.9	14.4	2.43	14.2	15.2	-0.96
PJ Tucker	48	48	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.08	4	7	-3	16.5	15.6	0.93	15.4	13.7	1.76
Tarik Black	31	31	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.03	-7	18	-25	19.6	14.3	5.26	16.8	13.5	3.31

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Jerebko	31	33	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.24	13	-24	37	14.3	14.7	-0.34	17.9	15.1	2.86
Ricky Rubio	51	52	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-7	3	13.5	15.7	-2.20	17.7	14.1	3.64
Alec Burks	25	23	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	-8	5	13.2	15.0	-1.84	17.2	15.7	1.44
Rudy Gobert	71	72	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	-2	-7	14.7	14.2	0.50	15.7	17.3	-1.55
Donovan Mitchell	70	72	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.15	-7	-4	-3	14.9	13.5	1.41	16.1	16.0	0.17
Derrick Favors	53	51	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.06	-10	-1	-9	16.0	12.7	3.36	16.5	15.6	0.84
Royce O'Neale	42	42	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.15	-9	-2	-7	15.2	14.0	1.24	14.4	17.4	-2.99
Jae Crowder	63	61	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.20	-8	-3	-5	13.4	16.8	-3.36	15.3	17.5	-2.16
Joe Ingles	64	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.06	-18	7	-25	14.9	13.8	1.06	15.3	17.8	-2.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.77,0.7,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.33,0.44,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.21,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 91, MIA 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0	93.4%
NOH 111, ATL 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.79,0.75,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.3,0.19,0.25,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.22,0.1,0.04,0.05,0,0	92.7%
MEM 99, UTA 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	92.5%