NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	101		Excitement	6.4 [528]		MVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): +31.6%
Cleveland Cavaliers	91		Comeback	4.2 [139]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -22.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.14	0.17	-0.01	19	68%	0.36	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	9	65%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Walton	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.02	6	58%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.03	4	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.01	17	51%	0.10	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Chris Mihm	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	0.02	-0.04	0.04	15	47%	-0.07	0	0.00	8	75%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	7	14%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.05	-0.02	11	73%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	2	125%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	16	58%	0.10	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	38%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	19	47%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	6	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.11	-0.13	-0.02	20	33%	-0.20	1	-0.03	8	50%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	4.0	29.6	18.8	26.1	3.7	35.3	142.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +45.5%

LAL +0.0%

CLE -8.1%

LAL +9.7%

LAL +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CLE	NBA	LAL	CLE	NBA
this game	15.2	17.4	15.5	113.5	103.4	106.4
season	14.9	16.9		110.6	110.6
opponent	15.2	15.4		101.0	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.9	13.6	18.6	16.6	15.2
CLE	16.5	17.1	16.6	19.4	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	80	81	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.21	11	-1	12	15.3	14.1	1.21	17.4	16.3	1.16
Luke Walton	56	57	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.10	13	-3	16	15.7	14.4	1.24	16.7	18.5	-1.85
Lamar Odom	72	71	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	1	8	15.4	14.5	0.83	16.3	21.9	-5.61
Derek Fisher	54	54	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.00	10	0	10	15.2	15.2	0.00	17.2	17.6	-0.38
Kobe Bryant	64	64	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.15	4	6	-2	15.9	13.5	2.34	16.8	18.7	-1.86
Jordan Farmar	36	35	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.18	1	9	-8	14.8	15.5	-0.67	17.3	17.4	-0.16
Sasha Vujacic	26	24	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	7	-4	13.4	15.9	-2.51	18.6	16.9	1.69
Josh Powell	17	17	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	9	-8	14.5	15.4	-0.83	21.9	16.3	5.61
Trevor Ariza	31	30	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	11	-12	15.0	15.3	-0.36	19.1	16.5	2.60
Chris Mihm	9	7	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.01	-1	11	-12	14.1	15.3	-1.21	16.3	17.4	-1.16

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Pavlovic	24	25	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-12	14	16.5	17.7	-1.11	12.9	16.1	-3.17
JJ Hickson	19	19	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.02	-2	-8	6	16.4	17.6	-1.25	15.7	15.1	0.61
Ben Wallace	33	33	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.03	-5	-5	0	17.4	17.3	0.07	13.7	16.1	-2.34
Daniel Gibson	43	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.18	0	-10	10	17.3	17.4	-0.10	15.6	14.8	0.85
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	63	62	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.15	-7	-3	-4	17.9	15.9	2.06	15.2	15.1	0.08
Wally Szczerbiak	60	61	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.16	-7	-3	-4	16.9	18.4	-1.47	16.0	13.4	2.59
Mo Williams	77	78	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.11	-11	1	-12	18.2	11.5	6.74	14.8	18.1	-3.30
Anderson Varejao	47	48	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.21	-8	-2	-6	17.0	17.7	-0.71	16.0	14.2	1.82
LeBron James	74	74	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.22	-12	2	-14	17.1	18.7	-1.62	15.4	14.0	1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.61,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 91, MIA 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0	93.4%
SAS 96, NJN 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.44,0.44,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.37,0.23,0.08,0.19,0.22,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.02,0	93.3%
TOR 80, LAC 77	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.16,0.04,0.11,0.01,0.09,0	93.1%