NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	101		Excitement	5.5 [696]		MVP	Gerald Wilkins (ORL): +20.8%
Seattle SuperSonics	89		Comeback	4.0 [131]		LVP	Shawn Kemp (SEA): -22.0%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wilkins	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.09	0.10	-0.02	9	82%	0.24	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Dennis Scott	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.05	-0.02	7	64%	0.13	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.03	0.04	19	58%	0.08	2	-0.04	7	86%	-0.01
Brian Shaw	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	9	58%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Nick Anderson	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	44%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rony Seikaly	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	13	60%	0.06	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Derek Strong	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Horace Grant	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.01	-0.02	6	35%	-0.05	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.02

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.01	-0.04	11	77%	0.17	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	7	71%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Stewart	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	7	86%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	7	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Nate McMillan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Greg Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Ehlo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.13,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	0.05	21	49%	-0.01	3	-0.09	5	60%	-0.02
Shawn Kemp	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.15	-0.08	-0.01	9	32%	-0.08	5	-0.14	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	49.8	2.7	24.1	16.7	23.3	2.6	32.4	151.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +21.9%

ORL +10.4%

ORL +10.2%

ORL +8.7%

SEA -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	SEA	NBA	ORL	SEA	NBA
this game	18.2	14.8	15.6	116.1	101.1	104.4
season	16.4	14.9		102.9	108.9
opponent	16.2	15.5		100.8	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	17.6	17.4	16.4	21.4	18.2
SEA	13.7	14.7	17.9	12.9	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Horace Grant	71	72	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.09	18	-6	24	17.4	21.4	-4.00	15.0	13.8	1.16
Anfernee Hardaway	73	74	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.10	15	-3	18	17.6	21.0	-3.37	14.7	14.9	-0.20
Rony Seikaly	70	72	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.11	8	4	4	18.6	16.5	2.04	14.7	15.1	-0.44
Nick Anderson	58	58	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.03	10	2	8	17.3	19.9	-2.59	14.9	14.6	0.30
Dennis Scott	56	58	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.14	5	7	-2	18.6	17.4	1.17	15.4	13.6	1.81
Gerald Wilkins	39	39	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.11	5	7	-2	18.3	18.1	0.20	14.6	14.9	-0.22
Brian Shaw	35	35	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.06	1	11	-10	19.9	17.0	2.96	13.8	15.4	-1.64
Derek Strong	33	32	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.09	-2	14	-16	18.9	17.7	1.19	14.5	14.9	-0.46

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jim McIlvaine	30	30	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.01	1	-13	14	13.5	15.4	-1.91	17.9	18.3	-0.42
Greg Graham	9	8	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-12	12	14.1	14.8	-0.72	16.6	18.3	-1.70
Craig Ehlo	29	28	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	-10	8	14.9	14.7	0.20	18.5	18.0	0.48
Nate McMillan	42	41	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-12	12	15.1	14.4	0.68	20.0	16.5	3.55
Terry Cummings	36	35	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.08	-1	-11	10	14.8	14.7	0.03	18.9	17.7	1.29
Larry Stewart	42	42	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.03	-5	-7	2	14.1	15.3	-1.18	16.7	19.5	-2.77
Sam Perkins	35	35	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.13	-10	-2	-8	16.1	13.8	2.29	18.9	17.7	1.15
Hersey Hawkins	70	69	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.10	-14	2	-16	14.6	15.2	-0.58	17.7	20.0	-2.30
Shawn Kemp	68	68	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.12	-14	2	-16	14.8	14.5	0.27	17.8	19.6	-1.87
Gary Payton	79	79	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.17	-15	3	-18	14.8	14.1	0.72	18.2	17.6	0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.55,0.52,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.15,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 99, UTA 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.7%
MEM 95, GSW 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.82,0.83,0.73,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.34,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.3%
IND 97, BOS 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.37,0.3,0.18,0.15,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.3%