NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	114		Excitement	5.6 [688]		MVP	Al Horford (ATL): +18.6%
New York Knicks	101		Comeback	5.7 [419]		LVP	Chris Duhon (NYK): -14.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.09	0.09	-0.00	16	61%	0.27	3	-0.08	9	78%	0.02
Jamal Crawford	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.05	-0.02	9	55%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike Bibby	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.15	0.00	0.05	8	95%	0.15	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Maurice Evans	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.03	0.04	6	80%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Josh Smith	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	15	65%	0.14	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Jeff Teague	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randolph Morris	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.04	0.00	19	47%	0.07	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Joe Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.04	0.01	8	74%	0.15	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	-0.01	-0.02	19	59%	0.16	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.02	9	61%	0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	21	51%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	8	57%	0.03	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Marcus Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	3	67%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	9	47%	-0.00	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.16	-0.01	-0.02	6	0%	-0.10	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.6	28.5	17.3	29.5	2.4	27.6	130.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +47.0%

ATL +1.4%

NYK -1.6%

ATL +2.6%

ATL +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NYK	NBA	ATL	NYK	NBA
this game	16.1	13.9	15.3	118.8	105.2	106.0
season	16.0	14.7		109.4	105.9
opponent	15.5	15.8		109.9	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.6	15.2	15.0	17.7	16.1
NYK	14.7	13.0	13.8	14.2	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Horford	84	83	0.68	-0.17	0.85	0.03	22	-9	31	15.9	17.5	-1.60	14.1	12.5	1.57
Jamal Crawford	54	53	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.16	16	-3	19	16.1	16.2	-0.11	14.4	13.3	1.12
Joe Johnson	87	87	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.06	18	-5	23	15.9	17.8	-1.85	14.2	11.2	2.95
Mike Bibby	68	70	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.08	17	-4	21	15.6	17.3	-1.72	14.4	12.4	2.02
Josh Smith	80	80	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	0	13	15.9	17.2	-1.37	14.1	13.0	1.08
Maurice Evans	46	45	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.11	-1	14	-15	16.4	15.9	0.51	12.7	15.0	-2.31
Jeff Teague	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	14	-15	16.7	16.1	0.58	9.3	14.0	-4.71
Randolph Morris	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	14	-15	16.7	16.1	0.58	9.3	14.0	-4.71
Marvin Williams	43	43	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.13	-6	19	-25	17.5	15.0	2.51	13.1	14.6	-1.50
Joe Smith	3	3	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	17	-21	15.0	16.1	-1.14	14.3	13.9	0.45
Zaza Pachulia	9	10	-0.17	0.68	-0.85	0.06	-8	21	-29	17.8	15.9	1.85	13.5	13.9	-0.44

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Landry	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-14	15	9.3	14.0	-4.71	16.7	16.1	0.58
Jordan Hill	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-14	15	9.3	14.0	-4.71	16.7	16.1	0.58
Danilo Gallinari	62	63	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.16	4	-17	21	13.3	15.0	-1.76	17.0	14.4	2.56
Jared Jeffries	37	35	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-14	15	13.6	14.1	-0.40	16.5	15.9	0.65
Toney Douglas	72	71	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.18	0	-13	13	13.6	14.7	-1.03	16.4	15.2	1.28
David Lee	50	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.02	-8	-5	-3	13.9	13.9	-0.07	16.4	15.7	0.70
Chris Duhon	49	52	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.03	-11	-2	-9	13.6	14.2	-0.54	16.3	15.9	0.36
Larry Hughes	66	64	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.04	-16	3	-19	14.5	12.6	1.88	15.2	18.0	-2.84
Al Harrington	75	74	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.06	-16	3	-19	14.4	12.2	2.12	15.8	17.1	-1.28
Wilson Chandler	63	63	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.08	-21	8	-29	14.4	12.8	1.60	15.5	17.3	-1.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.78,0.83,0.8,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.22,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 99, UTA 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.6%
BOS 108, IND 98	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.61,0.68,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.3,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.2%
GSW 101, HOU 92	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.76,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.48,0.37,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.02,0.06,0.13,0.03,0,0,0,0	92.9%