NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	93		Excitement	5.9 [604]		MVP	Kevin Martin (OKC): +16.0%
Oklahoma City Thunder	104		Comeback	1.7 [992]		LVP	Ian Mahinmi (IND): -11.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.06	-0.02	14	48%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
David West	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	16	60%	0.10	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.02
Paul George	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	15	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Gerald Green	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	7	57%	0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	59%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Roy Hibbert	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	9	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sam Young	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	7	29%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.16	0.00	0.00	12	75%	0.19	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.08	-0.01	9	67%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	-0.00	4	75%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	-0.03	17	51%	0.10	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	3	71%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.05	0.08	-0.02	24	47%	0.16	4	-0.11	10	80%	0.02
Hasheem Thabeet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	4	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.7	29.3	16.4	24.3	2.7	26.4	125.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +26.2%

OKC +18.7%

OKC +19.1%

IND -10.3%

IND -3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	OKC	NBA	IND	OKC	NBA
this game	16.9	16.0	15.4	105.7	119.5	104.1
season	16.1	14.8		102.4	109.3
opponent	15.5	15.5		100.6	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.1	16.5	17.2	16.9	16.9
OKC	13.4	17.0	15.5	18.2	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lance Stephenson	48	48	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.10	4	-15	19	16.6	17.3	-0.65	15.0	17.1	-2.11
Paul George	72	72	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.17	0	-11	11	17.0	16.7	0.31	15.8	16.8	-1.01
Roy Hibbert	50	50	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.15	-1	-10	9	16.5	17.5	-0.98	15.3	16.8	-1.52
George Hill	72	71	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.19	0	-11	11	16.7	17.9	-1.22	15.9	16.1	-0.12
David West	75	73	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-8	5	16.3	20.8	-4.49	15.0	20.9	-5.91
Tyler Hansbrough	13	14	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.04	-8	-3	-5	20.8	16.3	4.49	20.9	15.0	5.91
D.J. Augustin	16	16	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.01	-11	0	-11	17.9	16.7	1.22	16.1	15.9	0.12
Ian Mahinmi	38	37	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-10	-1	-9	17.5	16.5	0.98	16.8	15.3	1.52
Sam Young	16	15	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-11	0	-11	16.7	17.0	-0.31	16.8	15.8	1.01
Gerald Green	40	39	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.07	-15	4	-19	17.3	16.6	0.65	17.1	15.0	2.11

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Martin	55	57	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.12	12	-1	13	16.2	15.5	0.74	17.4	16.1	1.26
Nick Collison	33	35	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.04	14	-3	17	16.1	15.9	0.20	18.9	15.6	3.27
Thabo Sefolosha	48	47	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	0	11	15.1	17.0	-1.83	16.4	17.5	-1.07
Russell Westbrook	64	64	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.15	6	5	1	16.0	16.0	0.01	16.5	18.2	-1.68
Serge Ibaka	61	61	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	10	-9	16.1	15.6	0.50	16.3	18.3	-2.01
Hasheem Thabeet	25	25	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.05	5	6	-1	15.7	16.1	-0.34	17.7	16.6	1.09
Eric Maynor	23	24	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	6	-1	16.0	16.0	-0.01	18.2	16.5	1.68
Kevin Durant	71	72	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.19	-1	12	-13	16.3	14.4	1.87	16.9	17.1	-0.15
Kendrick Perkins	55	55	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.08	2	9	-7	15.8	16.2	-0.35	16.0	18.5	-2.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.75,0.75,0.66,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.84,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.93,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 95, PHI 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.76,0.75,0.71,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.79,0.67,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.87,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.4%
MIA 71, IND 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.74,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,1,1	92.1%
CHA 86, CHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.84,0.98,1,1	92.0%