NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	86		Excitement	6.3 [549]		MVP	Nikola Mirotic (CHI): +21.1%
Chicago Bulls	98		Comeback	1.5 [843]		LVP	Gerald Henderson (CHA): -15.0%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	-0.03	-0.00	24	55%	0.09	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Lance Stephenson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	90%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	2	112%	0.09	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	8	35%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Mo Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	16	41%	-0.01	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.02
Jason Maxiell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	2	17%	-0.06	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Al Jefferson	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.03	7	19%	-0.08	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Gerald Henderson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.07	0.02	12	37%	-0.12	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.10	0.11	-0.00	19	58%	0.27	2	-0.06	10	70%	0.02
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.04	0.05	19	61%	0.12	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	10	62%	0.10	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	20	38%	-0.08	1	0.00	10	70%	-0.02
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	33%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.3	28.4	16.8	24.8	1.6	31.6	131.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +52.1%

CHA -9.5%

CHA -12.4%

CHI +15.7%

CHI +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	CHI	NBA	CHA	CHI	NBA
this game	15.1	15.6	15.1	91.5	104.3	104.2
season	15.6	15.5		98.9	105.4
opponent	15.2	15.1		102.5	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.8	14.2	16.4	15.0	15.1
CHI	15.2	17.1	14.2	15.7	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Noah Vonleh	2	3	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-14	16	18.5	15.0	3.49	15.0	15.6	-0.57
Al Jefferson	42	41	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-13	14	14.8	15.3	-0.50	14.8	16.2	-1.37
Lance Stephenson	45	43	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-11	10	13.5	16.5	-2.98	15.2	15.9	-0.68
Kemba Walker	67	67	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.11	-5	-7	2	15.0	15.3	-0.24	15.2	16.4	-1.20
Bismack Biyombo	37	36	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.08	-7	-5	-2	15.5	14.8	0.71	16.7	14.8	1.89
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	58	58	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.00	-10	-2	-8	15.6	14.3	1.31	15.0	16.4	-1.40
Jason Maxiell	18	20	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	2	-16	17.9	14.4	3.54	16.1	15.4	0.69
Mo Williams	64	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.23	-5	-7	2	14.9	15.4	-0.46	16.3	13.9	2.43
Marvin Williams	71	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.19	-8	-4	-4	14.8	16.0	-1.21	15.7	15.0	0.79
Gerald Henderson	66	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.06	-13	1	-14	15.3	14.6	0.68	15.4	16.0	-0.68

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmy Butler	78	78	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.16	13	-1	14	15.6	15.1	0.52	15.0	15.4	-0.42
Taj Gibson	60	61	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.15	10	2	8	16.0	14.7	1.28	15.8	13.8	2.05
Nikola Mirotic	61	61	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.15	5	7	-2	16.1	14.5	1.69	14.8	15.6	-0.80
Kirk Hinrich	56	58	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.07	7	5	2	16.2	14.7	1.50	14.5	16.0	-1.44
Mike Dunleavy	50	48	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.09	6	6	0	15.8	15.3	0.44	16.2	13.9	2.25
Pau Gasol	67	66	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.01	9	3	6	14.6	17.9	-3.33	14.7	16.0	-1.35
Aaron Brooks	68	67	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.01	9	3	6	14.6	18.0	-3.38	14.7	16.1	-1.49
Tony Snell	30	31	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.13	1	11	-10	16.0	15.4	0.61	15.5	14.9	0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.84,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 94, PHX 99	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.63,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.83,0.77,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.86,0.96,1	94.2%
DET 103, SAC 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.83,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.87,0.77,0.86,0.88,0.83,0.89,0.95,0.94,1,1	94.2%
CHI 85, MIA 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.62,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,1,1	94.0%