NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	95		Excitement	6.0 [572]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +14.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	105		Comeback	1.5 [257]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (PHI): -22.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.04,0.08,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.07	-0.01	11	70%	0.22	4	-0.12	5	40%	0.00
Jon Barry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.02	13	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Robert Horry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Nick Van Exel	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	15	45%	-0.00	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Corie Blount	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.06	0.01	10	59%	-0.04	1	-0.02	12	75%	-0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	5	43%	-0.04	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Rick Fox	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	6	50%	-0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.08	-0.00	21	63%	0.24	3	-0.09	7	86%	0.03
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	6	69%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	6	61%	0.06	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	7	56%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	12	53%	0.05	4	-0.07	6	100%	0.04
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	47%	0.01	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.18	-0.05	-0.00	17	32%	-0.14	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.4	28.4	15.6	24.1	1.7	37.3	135.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +2.0%

PHI +19.2%

PHI +25.5%

PHI +7.4%

LAL -4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHI	NBA	LAL	PHI	NBA
this game	13.7	16.8	15.6	100.0	111.7	102.5
season	14.8	15.4		110.0	99.7
opponent	15.5	15.6		102.1	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.1	13.2	13.8	12.9	13.7
PHI	19.2	16.3	16.2	15.9	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Barry	30	28	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.15	10	-20	30	11.6	14.6	-3.08	16.0	17.2	-1.12
Elden Campbell	75	74	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-15	20	14.0	12.6	1.36	16.6	17.4	-0.80
Derek Fisher	28	27	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.00	-6	-4	-2	13.7	13.6	0.11	16.7	16.9	-0.21
Robert Horry	62	60	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.10	-3	-7	4	14.3	12.6	1.68	16.7	17.0	-0.33
Eddie Jones	74	73	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-6	2	13.1	15.6	-2.44	16.4	18.4	-2.01
Corie Blount	32	33	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.07	-7	-3	-4	13.0	14.0	-1.06	17.5	16.4	1.12
Nick Van Exel	67	67	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-6	2	13.6	13.7	-0.11	16.9	16.7	0.21
Kobe Bryant	45	46	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.24	-4	-6	2	12.3	14.9	-2.59	16.9	16.7	0.23
Sean Rooks	17	17	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.06	-15	5	-20	13.9	13.6	0.33	19.2	16.3	2.88
Rick Fox	45	45	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	0.08	-22	12	-34	16.4	11.2	5.26	16.9	16.7	0.22

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Williams	47	47	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.08	14	-4	18	16.3	17.3	-0.96	13.4	13.9	-0.49
Jerry Stackhouse	80	81	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.28	7	3	4	16.6	18.1	-1.47	13.8	13.2	0.54
Jim Jackson	76	79	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.03	13	-3	16	16.9	16.6	0.33	14.3	10.4	3.97
Allen Iverson	79	82	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.23	6	4	2	16.3	19.7	-3.47	13.8	13.1	0.69
Terry Cummings	22	22	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.00	13	-3	16	16.6	16.9	-0.24	14.1	13.5	0.60
Eric Montross	59	61	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.15	3	7	-4	17.5	15.6	1.94	14.1	12.9	1.28
Doug Overton	21	18	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.02	6	4	2	18.1	16.5	1.64	12.1	14.1	-2.00
Tim Thomas	28	27	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	12	-14	17.0	16.8	0.21	11.6	14.5	-2.96
Clar. Weatherspoon	58	58	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.18	-10	20	-30	17.0	16.6	0.43	13.6	13.9	-0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.76,0.75,0.71,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.79,0.67,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.87,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 71, PHX 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.58,0.52,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%
MIA 71, IND 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.74,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,1,1	93.4%
IND 93, OKC 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.75,0.75,0.66,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.84,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	93.4%