inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 71 Excitement5.2 [749] MVPSam Perkins (IND): +11.2%
Indiana Pacers 87 Comeback1.9 [622] LVPEddie Jones (MIA): -16.4%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Hardaway0.100,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.10.030.05-0.031756%0.142-0.032100%0.00
A.C. Green-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.01-0.00333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Anthony Carter-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.0120%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Dan Majerle-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.0020%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Bruce Bowen-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.0140%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Brian Grant-0.080,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.02-0.050.011354%0.033-0.1100%0.00
Anthony Mason-0.140,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.09-0.05-0.001950%-0.034-0.111080%0.01
Eddie Jones-0.160,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.13-0.06-0.021439%-0.055-0.1100%0.00

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Sam Perkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.060.04-0.01679%0.131-0.022100%0.01
Jalen Rose0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.060.02-0.052248%0.104-0.0800%0.00
Travis Best0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.020.011046%0.0000.004100%0.01
Austin Croshere0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.00642%0.0000.0000%0.00
Derrick McKey0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.01383%0.052-0.0500%0.00
Zan Tabak0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.001100%0.042-0.0600%0.00
Jeff Foster0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.0000%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Reggie Miller0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00948%-0.031-0.02786%0.04
Al Harrington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.00425%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Jermaine O'Neal0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.030.021455%0.012-0.07580%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.22.629.216.422.62.635.0131.7
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +27.2%
IND +10.4%
IND +12.4%
MIA -4.2%
IND +4.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAINDNBAMIAINDNBA
this game15.418.315.582.6102.4100.9
season16.315.998.499.3
opponent15.616.199.996.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA16.013.616.715.615.4
IND16.715.818.423.118.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
A.C. Green2727-0.22-0.280.07-0.10-4-12815.115.5-0.4117.918.5-0.67
Bruce Bowen6161-0.22-0.280.060.05-9-7-215.016.4-1.4718.617.61.01
Brian Grant6362-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.22-1-151415.714.61.0718.817.01.79
Tim Hardaway6867-0.27-0.23-0.030.06-11-5-615.614.80.7818.019.4-1.44
Eddie Jones7475-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.06-8-8015.316.2-0.9918.219.1-0.90
Anthony Carter2423-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.03-10-6-415.315.4-0.1418.018.4-0.36
Dan Majerle3433-0.40-0.10-0.300.13-182-2015.715.20.4619.217.71.48
Anthony Mason7977-0.530.03-0.560.03-193-2215.514.31.2117.922.1-4.22

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Travis Best50500.68-0.180.870.0123-73018.917.51.4415.215.7-0.47
Reggie Miller73740.440.060.380.001511418.815.53.2715.315.8-0.51
Jalen Rose75770.430.070.360.021421218.616.02.6115.316.1-0.80
Zan Tabak29280.380.120.260.1588017.318.8-1.5616.914.72.27
Sam Perkins57590.330.170.170.1379-218.717.61.1015.116.0-0.94
Jermaine O'Neal57580.200.30-0.11-0.10106418.617.70.8315.315.6-0.26
Al Harrington24240.050.45-0.39-0.1579-216.619.0-2.4013.516.1-2.57
Derrick McKey31310.020.48-0.460.02016-1617.119.0-1.9016.914.62.31
Jeff Foster980.010.49-0.480.07-218-2021.917.94.0118.515.13.42
Austin Croshere2021-0.050.55-0.600.01-218-2016.019.0-3.0214.215.8-1.59


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.74,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 82, WAS 890.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.55,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.98,0.95,0.98,1,193.9%
DET 96, NYK 1080.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.69,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.83,0.94,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,193.5%
GSW 84, HOU 900.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.72,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,193.4%