NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	84		Excitement	6.1 [565]		MVP	Matt Bullard (HOU): +8.8%
Houston Rockets	90		Comeback	1.9 [1140]		LVP	David Vaughn (GSW): -17.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Delk	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	22	51%	-0.01	2	-0.04	11	73%	-0.01
Donyell Marshall	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	13	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Erick Dampier	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	5	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Bimbo Coles	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	16	47%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	9	45%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Felton Spencer	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Muggsy Bogues	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	6	17%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
David Vaughn	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	-0.00	9	25%	-0.10	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.01	13	46%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	9	45%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Rodrick Rhodes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	6	36%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	20	49%	0.01	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Clyde Drexler	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	0.06	16	47%	-0.08	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-0.06	14	31%	-0.08	5	-0.08	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.3	23.6	16.4	24.4	1.8	35.0	128.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +30.3%

HOU +8.6%

HOU +2.8%

HOU +10.2%

GSW -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	HOU	NBA	GSW	HOU	NBA
this game	14.6	15.2	15.6	87.5	92.8	102.5
season	15.6	15.7		92.9	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.0		105.7	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.4	14.2	15.4	14.5	14.6
HOU	15.0	15.8	14.6	15.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adonal Foyle	20	20	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.02	4	-10	14	13.9	14.8	-0.81	14.4	15.5	-1.00
Bimbo Coles	68	69	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-16	26	14.1	15.7	-1.63	15.3	15.1	0.25
Tony Delk	6	7	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-5	4	15.0	14.6	0.43	14.0	15.3	-1.34
Erick Dampier	71	72	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.41	9	-15	24	14.1	16.0	-1.90	15.9	13.4	2.49
Brian Shaw	8	9	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	1	-8	16.7	14.4	2.35	14.8	15.3	-0.52
Donyell Marshall	80	79	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.28	4	-10	14	13.8	18.3	-4.46	15.2	15.3	-0.04
Latrell Sprewell	82	81	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.31	2	-8	10	14.4	16.0	-1.65	15.4	14.4	0.97
Felton Spencer	25	25	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.09	-15	9	-24	16.0	14.1	1.90	13.4	15.9	-2.49
Joe Smith	51	53	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.31	-2	-4	2	14.2	15.1	-0.89	15.3	15.2	0.12
David Vaughn	35	36	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.02	-14	8	-22	16.4	13.6	2.80	16.0	14.8	1.15
Muggsy Bogues	34	34	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.06	-20	14	-34	16.5	13.6	2.91	14.7	15.5	-0.79

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Bullard	50	51	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.16	16	-10	26	15.3	15.1	0.19	16.0	13.0	3.08
Brent Price	53	53	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.15	15	-9	24	15.3	15.2	0.04	15.2	13.8	1.37
Rodrick Rhodes	31	31	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	-4	14	15.3	15.2	0.02	16.2	13.8	2.32
Hakeem Olajuwon	80	79	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.33	0	6	-6	15.6	13.5	2.08	14.4	15.4	-0.99
Kevin Willis	80	78	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.31	-4	10	-14	15.0	16.5	-1.55	14.0	17.2	-3.24
Othella Harrington	13	13	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.05	8	-2	10	15.5	15.2	0.25	16.2	14.3	1.80
Mario Elie	62	61	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.19	-2	8	-10	15.3	15.2	0.07	13.8	15.9	-2.08
Clyde Drexler	72	71	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.25	-4	10	-14	15.0	15.9	-0.91	14.1	16.0	-1.90
Matt Maloney	44	43	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.18	-9	15	-24	15.2	15.3	-0.04	13.8	15.2	-1.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.72,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 81, MIA 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.36,0.37,0.48,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.5%
MIA 71, IND 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.74,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,1,1	93.4%
ATL 86, PHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.4%