NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	104		Excitement	6.5 [401]		MVP	Chris Paul (LAC): +23.6%
Los Angeles Clippers	112		Comeback	1.1 [1003]		LVP	Charles Jenkins (GSW): -13.8%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nate Robinson	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.13	0.06	-0.01	18	67%	0.25	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Brandon Rush	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.03	-0.01	13	71%	0.18	3	-0.04	5	60%	0.01
Klay Thompson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.04	0.02	17	67%	0.18	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Dorell Wright	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	-0.04	0.01	15	64%	0.11	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Mickell Gladness	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Tyler	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	6	33%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Charles Jenkins	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.05	-0.03	4	10%	-0.06	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24	0.24	0.18	0.09	0.03	17	80%	0.33	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.06	-0.04	11	58%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.02	0.02	11	67%	0.12	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.05
Blake Griffin	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.03	-0.03	14	56%	0.11	1	-0.01	8	25%	-0.09
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	7	67%	0.12	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	60%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	7	35%	0.02	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.06
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	42%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.5	31.3	16.6	35.5	2.7	27.2	140.2
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +38.1%

GSW -8.1%

LAC +1.4%

LAC +17.0%

LAC +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAC	NBA	GSW	LAC	NBA
this game	14.8	16.5	15.6	113.0	121.7	102.8
season	15.2	16.2		103.6	106.0
opponent	15.7	15.4		104.5	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.6	14.9	14.3	16.9	14.8
LAC	13.6	17.2	16.4	19.9	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mickell Gladness	21	20	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.19	7	-15	22	12.1	15.6	-3.50	16.8	16.4	0.43
Nate Robinson	68	68	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.43	12	-20	32	14.7	15.2	-0.50	16.7	15.9	0.86
Dominic McGuire	53	53	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.34	8	-16	24	13.8	16.1	-2.32	16.7	16.3	0.44
Brandon Rush	69	69	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.36	7	-15	22	14.7	15.0	-0.28	16.8	15.7	1.09
Dorell Wright	80	78	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.18	-3	-5	2	14.8	14.4	0.43	16.3	17.9	-1.67
Andris Biedrins	22	23	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.23	-22	14	-36	15.5	14.6	0.87	14.4	17.2	-2.77
Charles Jenkins	24	24	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.17	-20	12	-32	15.2	14.7	0.50	15.9	16.7	-0.86
Klay Thompson	79	80	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.21	-9	1	-10	15.2	12.5	2.72	16.8	14.7	2.03
Jeremy Tyler	44	45	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.01	-20	12	-32	16.2	13.5	2.79	16.8	16.3	0.48

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Foye	64	65	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.03	17	-9	26	15.1	19.7	-4.60	14.6	15.2	-0.61
Chris Paul	70	70	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.11	11	-3	14	16.7	16.0	0.73	14.4	16.1	-1.76
Blake Griffin	66	66	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.06	11	-3	14	16.2	17.2	-0.95	14.7	15.1	-0.45
DeAndre Jordan	49	49	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	-3	14	15.4	17.8	-2.45	14.2	15.4	-1.22
Caron Butler	41	41	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.04	10	-2	12	14.7	18.0	-3.25	13.5	15.8	-2.36
Mo Williams	45	44	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.36	-4	12	-16	18.2	14.9	3.35	15.9	13.8	2.09
Kenyon Martin	46	46	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.29	-2	10	-12	17.6	15.4	2.20	15.5	14.1	1.37
Nick Young	38	39	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.25	-2	10	-12	17.7	15.7	1.95	15.9	14.0	1.92
Eric Bledsoe	27	26	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.19	-4	12	-16	17.2	16.2	0.95	14.8	14.8	0.07
Reggie Evans	14	14	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.11	-8	16	-24	19.1	16.1	3.02	15.3	14.7	0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.69,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.93,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.93,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 83, SAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.71,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1	93.9%
ORL 88, ATL 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.66,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.89,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.92,1	93.7%
WAS 109, DET 117	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.71,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.77,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1	92.6%