NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	109		Excitement	5.9 [655]		MVP	Nick Young (WAS): +21.8%
Detroit Pistons	117		Comeback	1.1 [1150]		LVP	Caron Butler (WAS): -10.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.18	0.05	0.01	10	74%	0.22	0	0.00	11	100%	0.08
Juan Dixon	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.03	0.02	5	90%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.14	0.01	0.05	16	60%	0.09	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	10	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Antonio Daniels	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.02	0.02	4	78%	0.05	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Etan Thomas	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	42%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Dominic McGuire	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.00	-0.06	0.04	18	57%	0.03	4	-0.13	1	100%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walter Herrmann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.04	0.04	9	84%	0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.03	0.01	9	85%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.04	0.01	5	85%	0.15	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.02	4	100%	0.10	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.07	-0.01	8	55%	0.15	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	6	46%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	21	50%	0.09	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	0.00	5	44%	0.00	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	0.03	8	52%	-0.04	3	-0.04	7	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.4	28.5	17.7	25.1	2.8	36.5	141.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +32.6%

DET +0.4%

DET +31.1%

WAS -12.4%

WAS -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DET	NBA	WAS	DET	NBA
this game	15.7	15.5	15.5	117.2	127.2	106.4
season	15.9	16.9		103.5	104.9
opponent	15.7	15.2		106.2	111.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	17.3	15.8	14.4	15.2	15.7
DET	14.6	17.0	15.6	14.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juan Dixon	26	26	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.24	15	-23	38	15.1	15.9	-0.75	16.2	15.2	0.94
Andray Blatche	8	8	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.05	2	-10	12	17.6	15.5	2.15	15.0	15.5	-0.52
Darius Songaila	55	55	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.39	11	-19	30	14.1	17.9	-3.87	15.7	15.2	0.44
Nick Young	58	57	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.35	9	-17	26	14.5	17.6	-3.12	15.4	15.6	-0.24
Dominic McGuire	20	20	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-4	0	16.8	15.3	1.52	17.1	15.0	2.07
Antawn Jamison	82	81	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.29	-3	-5	2	15.7	15.1	0.64	15.4	16.2	-0.80
Caron Butler	82	80	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.14	-10	2	-12	15.3	18.6	-3.38	15.0	18.7	-3.76
Etan Thomas	32	32	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.12	-20	12	-32	18.0	14.4	3.53	15.7	15.3	0.42
Antonio Daniels	55	55	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.04	-17	9	-26	15.8	15.4	0.35	15.1	16.1	-1.01
DeShawn Stevenson	47	46	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.10	-23	15	-38	17.2	14.0	3.19	15.7	15.3	0.43

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Hamilton	74	76	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.15	13	-5	18	15.1	16.9	-1.75	15.7	15.2	0.51
Tayshaun Prince	64	64	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.13	10	-2	12	15.1	16.4	-1.31	15.6	15.7	-0.05
Rasheed Wallace	67	68	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.05	10	-2	12	15.3	16.0	-0.66	15.0	17.4	-2.44
Chauncey Billups	69	69	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.11	7	1	6	15.3	15.9	-0.58	14.8	18.2	-3.38
Walter Herrmann	46	47	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.28	0	8	-8	15.3	15.7	-0.35	14.7	16.7	-1.97
Amir Johnson	19	20	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.11	13	-5	18	15.8	15.4	0.39	18.4	14.9	3.50
Jason Maxiell	31	33	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.10	5	3	2	14.4	16.0	-1.60	16.4	15.2	1.19
Rodney Stuckey	33	34	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.29	-6	14	-20	16.2	15.1	1.10	16.9	14.9	1.93
Arron Afflalo	6	5	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.01	2	6	-4	19.5	15.2	4.30	20.0	15.4	4.59
Kwame Brown	14	13	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.12	-5	13	-18	16.8	15.2	1.54	16.6	15.5	1.12
Antonio McDyess	37	36	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.21	-9	17	-26	16.6	14.7	1.91	15.3	15.9	-0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.71,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.77,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 96, BOS 107	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.71,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.63,0.68,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	93.2%
NYK 117, ORL 131	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.5,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.82,0.74,0.78,0.66,0.73,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.98,1,1,1	93.0%
MIA 89, UTA 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.66,0.61,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.96,0.89,0.97,1	92.7%