NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	89		Excitement	6.1 [610]		MVP	Marvin Williams (UTA): +17.1%
Utah Jazz	94		Comeback	1.2 [226]		LVP	LeBron James (MIA): -23.4%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	-0.00	4	80%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07	0.02	0.06	-0.00	8	56%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.03	14	58%	0.19	3	-0.12	5	100%	0.04
Mario Chalmers	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.02	6	80%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Norris Cole	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	9	55%	0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Chris Andersen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Greg Oden	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	12	41%	-0.07	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
LeBron James	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.13	-0.11	-0.00	13	41%	-0.07	5	-0.17	6	67%	-0.03

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.06	0.04	15	72%	0.20	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.09	-0.02	7	57%	0.12	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	10	61%	0.14	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Trey Burke	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.06	0.00	11	59%	0.15	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.01	-0.05	6	44%	0.07	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	8	45%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.02
Diante Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	12	46%	0.01	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	2.6	26.5	15.4	23.2	1.8	33.3	124.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +43.8%

MIA -7.9%

UTA +15.6%

MIA -1.2%

MIA -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	UTA	NBA	MIA	UTA	NBA
this game	15.0	18.3	15.1	103.5	108.0	105.2
season	15.6	16.2		109.7	102.1
opponent	14.8	15.8		109.6	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	16.0	16.4	13.8	13.7	15.0
UTA	16.7	19.6	19.5	17.6	18.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Oden	20	20	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-9	13	14.5	15.1	-0.59	17.7	18.5	-0.81
Shane Battier	46	44	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-2	-1	14.5	15.4	-0.93	19.3	17.3	1.97
LeBron James	73	74	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.25	0	-5	5	13.9	21.0	-7.12	18.1	19.5	-1.43
Mario Chalmers	57	57	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-3	1	13.9	17.1	-3.24	18.7	17.6	1.10
Dwyane Wade	64	65	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.32	1	-6	7	14.7	15.6	-0.86	19.4	15.0	4.45
Norris Cole	37	38	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	-2	-1	16.9	13.5	3.45	17.1	19.3	-2.25
Ray Allen	40	42	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.24	-5	0	-5	16.2	13.9	2.33	17.2	19.3	-2.10
Chris Bosh	61	62	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.23	-8	3	-11	15.2	14.3	0.95	18.5	17.8	0.68
Chris Andersen	32	33	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.23	-9	4	-13	16.3	14.1	2.21	17.5	18.8	-1.35

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordon Hayward	70	69	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.24	11	-6	17	18.1	19.3	-1.21	14.6	16.5	-1.96
Richard Jefferson	52	53	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.24	7	-2	9	18.0	18.8	-0.85	14.1	16.3	-2.19
Marvin Williams	52	53	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.17	5	0	5	18.3	18.3	0.06	13.8	16.8	-3.07
Enes Kanter	38	37	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.31	0	5	-5	18.0	18.6	-0.57	15.4	14.6	0.79
Trey Burke	50	51	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.16	5	0	5	18.5	18.1	0.47	13.9	16.5	-2.54
Diante Garrett	37	35	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.19	0	5	-5	18.1	18.5	-0.47	16.5	13.9	2.54
Derrick Favors	49	49	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	0	5	18.6	18.0	0.57	14.6	15.4	-0.79
Jeremy Evans	35	33	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.18	0	5	-5	18.3	18.3	-0.06	16.8	13.8	3.07
Alec Burks	46	45	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.16	-5	10	-15	18.4	18.2	0.24	15.9	14.0	1.92
Brandon Rush	6	5	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.06	-3	8	-11	23.2	18.0	5.20	21.0	14.6	6.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.66,0.61,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.96,0.89,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 98, LAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.66,0.79,0.86,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.92,1	93.9%
BOS 93, NJN 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.79,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.99,0.94,0.92,1	93.1%
GSW 107, PHX 116	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.96,1,1,1	93.0%