NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	98		Excitement	7.4 [324]		MVP	Quentin Richardson (LAC): +8.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	101		Comeback	1.1 [1043]		LVP	Marko Jaric (LAC): -16.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.14,0.06	0.08	-0.02	0.00	13	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zendon Hamilton	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	2	80%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.03	0.01	7	62%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.05
Greg Buckner	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	7	56%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Amal McCaskill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	6	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	0.01	14	57%	-0.02	2	-0.05	9	89%	0.04
John Salmons	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14	-0.01	-0.13	0.01	10	57%	-0.06	2	-0.09	3	67%	-0.00
Eric Snow	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	14	42%	-0.06	3	-0.10	5	80%	-0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.03	0.02	15	69%	0.17	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.03
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	9	56%	0.08	2	-0.05	7	57%	-0.03
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	5	54%	0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.05
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	11	67%	0.08	3	-0.08	8	75%	-0.01
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	13	55%	0.00	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	6	44%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.10	-0.04	13	41%	0.04	4	-0.21	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.6	35.8	15.5	24.5	2.5	36.2	139.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +40.4%

LAC +1.5%

LAC +9.7%

PHI -1.7%

LAC +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	LAC	NBA	PHI	LAC	NBA
this game	16.1	14.0	15.7	103.2	105.2	100.5
season	16.2	15.5		96.7	101.3
opponent	15.4	15.8		106.0	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.3	13.4	16.2	18.1	16.1
LAC	14.7	13.3	14.5	13.8	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Buckner	8	10	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.02	5	-8	13	11.6	16.6	-4.93	10.9	14.4	-3.50
Amal McCaskill	3	4	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-6	9	9.0	16.4	-7.37	10.5	14.2	-3.68
Zendon Hamilton	21	20	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.11	-2	-1	-1	13.9	16.8	-2.93	14.0	14.0	-0.04
Derrick Coleman	58	58	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.35	6	-9	15	15.6	16.9	-1.33	13.6	14.7	-1.17
John Salmons	43	46	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.15	-1	-2	1	16.9	15.5	1.36	15.2	13.0	2.24
Glenn Robinson	77	76	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.32	3	-6	9	16.0	16.7	-0.65	14.0	14.3	-0.34
Kyle Korver	33	35	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.16	-3	0	-3	15.8	16.3	-0.58	14.0	14.0	-0.00
Eric Snow	68	67	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-3	3	15.7	17.2	-1.46	13.5	15.2	-1.73
Samuel Dalembert	37	39	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.16	-9	6	-15	17.5	15.2	2.30	14.8	13.5	1.33
Kenny Thomas	48	46	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	9	-21	18.3	13.9	4.44	15.1	13.1	1.99
Aaron McKie	79	79	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.36	-5	2	-7	16.1	16.4	-0.29	13.8	15.1	-1.32

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wilcox	64	67	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.32	5	-2	7	14.3	13.5	0.75	16.4	15.6	0.80
Corey Maggette	69	69	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.31	4	-1	5	13.3	16.0	-2.69	16.3	15.8	0.51
Marko Jaric	69	69	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.30	3	0	3	13.4	15.7	-2.38	16.0	16.5	-0.55
Quentin Richardson	74	72	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.17	7	-4	11	13.8	14.7	-0.90	16.5	14.9	1.67
Chris Kaman	35	34	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.15	5	-2	7	14.6	13.7	0.85	16.9	15.7	1.21
Elton Brand	84	82	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.31	-1	4	-5	14.2	12.5	1.75	16.1	16.5	-0.38
Bobby Simmons	47	45	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.33	-4	7	-11	13.9	14.1	-0.19	15.8	16.5	-0.68
Doug Overton	27	26	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.11	0	3	-3	15.7	13.4	2.38	16.5	16.0	0.55
Glen Rice	11	11	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.05	-4	7	-11	15.7	13.8	1.92	10.6	16.9	-6.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.66,0.79,0.86,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 84, ORL 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.61,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.71,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.96,1	94.2%
DEN 87, SAS 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.87,0.91,0.83,0.71,0.87,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	94.1%
MIA 89, UTA 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.66,0.61,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.96,0.89,0.97,1	93.9%