NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	93		Excitement	6.7 [487]		MVP	Zoran Planinic (NJN): +12.9%
New Jersey Nets	95		Comeback	1.1 [1155]		LVP	Orien Greene (BOS): -18.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Scalabrine	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.03	0.01	9	70%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dwayne Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	67%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Kendrick Perkins	0.03	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.01	8	89%	0.15	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	14	56%	0.05	2	-0.06	6	67%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	60%	0.06	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03
Ryan Gomes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	12	56%	0.06	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Raef LaFrentz	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	8	19%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	0.02	12	38%	-0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Orien Greene	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.18	-0.12	-0.08	-0.02	9	40%	0.01	5	-0.19	2	100%	0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zoran Planinic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.11	-0.00	8	81%	0.23	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	13	67%	0.13	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	9	75%	0.13	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.05	-0.00	4	67%	0.11	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.05
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	54%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	8	44%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	12%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	10	46%	-0.03	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	11	42%	-0.02	2	-0.05	9	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.6	27.4	17.7	29.0	1.6	34.2	133.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +21.8%

BOS -7.0%

BOS -1.2%

NJN +22.1%

NJN +14.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NJN	NBA	BOS	NJN	NBA
this game	14.9	15.9	15.6	98.9	102.2	104.4
season	14.8	15.7		103.3	102.1
opponent	15.7	15.8		100.9	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.9	14.1	15.0	15.5	14.9
NJN	16.4	17.2	13.8	16.5	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwayne Jones	9	8	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.25	7	-9	16	11.0	15.3	-4.31	13.9	16.1	-2.23
Brian Scalabrine	56	55	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.14	2	-4	6	15.1	14.5	0.62	15.7	16.2	-0.46
Raef LaFrentz	39	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	2	-6	15.9	14.2	1.76	15.5	16.2	-0.64
Kendrick Perkins	69	67	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.33	1	-3	4	14.3	16.6	-2.38	15.7	16.4	-0.65
Orien Greene	50	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.36	2	-4	6	14.6	15.3	-0.71	15.0	16.9	-1.97
Ryan Gomes	73	72	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.11	-7	5	-12	15.4	13.0	2.44	15.9	15.9	0.07
Michael Olowokandi	28	27	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.09	-10	8	-18	16.5	14.2	2.24	17.9	15.1	2.73
Gerald Green	76	77	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.52	3	-5	8	14.4	16.9	-2.54	16.3	13.9	2.39
Tony Allen	70	71	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.40	-4	2	-6	14.8	15.1	-0.31	16.1	15.3	0.84

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Robinson	48	51	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.35	7	-5	12	16.0	15.8	0.13	15.2	14.6	0.58
Jacque Vaughn	40	42	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.40	1	1	0	16.8	15.3	1.51	15.0	14.8	0.19
Zoran Planinic	38	39	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.38	-1	3	-4	16.7	15.4	1.35	15.0	14.8	0.23
Jason Collins	57	55	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.24	0	2	-2	16.4	15.1	1.26	15.5	14.0	1.48
Richard Jefferson	54	54	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.01	8	-6	14	15.3	16.7	-1.43	15.4	14.2	1.16
Vince Carter	66	64	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	1	0	15.4	17.1	-1.63	15.3	14.0	1.31
Nenad Krstic	59	60	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	-3	8	15.4	16.8	-1.43	15.2	14.3	0.94
Bostjan Nachbar	26	28	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.34	-6	8	-14	17.0	15.5	1.56	12.8	15.8	-2.95
Jason Kidd	55	55	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.07	3	-1	4	15.4	16.7	-1.35	14.8	15.0	-0.23
Lamond Murray	22	22	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.27	-8	10	-18	15.9	15.9	-0.01	11.8	15.8	-4.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.79,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.99,0.94,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 84, TOR 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.0%
MIN 90, NYK 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.77,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.56,0.6,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.71,0.77,0.87,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.9%
GSW 103, LAC 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.7%