NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	96		Excitement	6.4 [580]		MVP	Marcus Smart (BOS): +15.0%
Boston Celtics	107		Comeback	1.3 [1019]		LVP	Trevor Ariza (WAS): -17.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.00	-0.02	23	60%	0.20	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Green	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.00	9	62%	0.10	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Tomas Satoransky	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	12	60%	0.13	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Troy Brown Jr.	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	47%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jabari Parker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	10	52%	0.13	4	-0.15	3	33%	-0.02
Chasson Randle	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	8	35%	-0.06	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18	-0.17	-0.04	-0.03	10	27%	-0.05	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Smart	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.16	0.03	0.05	7	114%	0.18	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.01	0.01	11	67%	0.12	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.00	9	61%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.07	-0.02	13	43%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	17	47%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Robert Williams III	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	15	43%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	-0.00	-0.04	13	36%	-0.02	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	2	37%	-0.04	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	3.8	26.2	15.3	21.3	1.8	30.0	125.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +15.0%

WAS -6.6%

BOS +11.2%

BOS +28.9%

BOS +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	BOS	NBA	WAS	BOS	NBA
this game	13.4	14.1	14.3	91.4	101.9	109.3
season	13.8	13.9		109.8	109.9
opponent	14.7	14.3		106.3	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.0	11.6	15.3	13.9	13.4
BOS	12.3	14.6	14.7	14.9	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Brown Jr.	30	30	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.16	8	-19	27	13.2	13.5	-0.29	14.0	14.1	-0.13
Chasson Randle	22	21	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.17	6	-17	23	12.1	13.7	-1.62	13.2	14.3	-1.08
Wesley Johnson	18	19	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-11	11	14.1	13.2	0.89	15.1	13.8	1.22
Jabari Parker	49	51	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.25	4	-15	19	12.5	14.1	-1.61	14.3	13.8	0.54
Bobby Portis	60	59	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.16	-14	3	-17	14.2	12.2	2.05	13.8	14.4	-0.63
Thomas Bryant	37	38	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.31	0	-11	11	12.6	13.8	-1.20	13.4	14.4	-0.96
Bradley Beal	84	85	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	0	-11	13.2	14.1	-0.90	13.8	15.1	-1.29
Tomas Satoransky	78	79	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.06	-13	2	-15	13.7	12.5	1.20	14.4	13.1	1.30
Jeff Green	70	69	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.06	-15	4	-19	13.7	12.6	1.11	14.5	13.2	1.31
Trevor Ariza	77	74	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.03	-20	9	-29	13.4	13.2	0.21	13.9	14.3	-0.38

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jayson Tatum	69	71	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.12	20	-9	29	13.6	15.0	-1.39	13.4	13.3	0.11
Al Horford	62	61	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.11	19	-8	27	14.7	13.1	1.67	14.2	12.3	1.89
Marcus Smart	64	64	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.01	11	0	11	14.7	13.1	1.61	13.5	13.2	0.29
Gordon Hayward	54	53	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.22	1	10	-9	13.8	14.3	-0.46	13.4	13.3	0.09
Terry Rozier	41	40	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.31	-3	14	-17	14.9	13.5	1.35	12.9	13.7	-0.76
Jaylen Brown	61	62	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	10	-9	13.1	15.3	-2.21	12.8	14.2	-1.38
Kyrie Irving	72	73	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.11	11	0	11	14.1	13.9	0.26	13.3	13.5	-0.23
Marcus Morris	59	57	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.02	3	8	-5	14.4	13.6	0.84	14.2	12.4	1.80
Daniel Theis	42	42	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.23	-6	17	-23	13.0	14.8	-1.76	12.2	14.2	-2.01
Robert Williams III	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	13	-15	16.0	14.0	1.96	14.5	13.3	1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.71,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.63,0.68,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 99, OKC 116	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.74,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.95,1,1,1,1,1	93.3%
WAS 109, DET 117	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.71,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.77,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1	93.2%
ATL 76, WAS 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.71,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.59,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1	93.1%