inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Hornets 83 Excitement5.4 [769] MVPRobert Horry (SAS): +8.8%
San Antonio Spurs 93 Comeback1.0 [1257] LVPRodney Rogers (NOH): -13.0%


New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
J.R. Smith0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.070.10-0.010.02972%0.0700.0000%0.00
Maciej Lampe0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.003100%0.0600.0000%0.00
Bostjan Nachbar-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.010.00240%-0.0000.0010%-0.03
Chris Andersen-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.000.01757%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Dan Dickau-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03-0.06-0.02-0.051353%0.034-0.05475%0.00
P.J. Brown-0.050,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.01-0.030.031055%-0.021-0.032100%0.01
Junior Harrington-0.060,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.080.00-0.0340%-0.051-0.0100%0.00
Jackson Vroman-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.030.01237%-0.061-0.04425%-0.03
Casey Jacobsen-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.06-0.030.00638%-0.062-0.041100%0.00
Lee Nailon-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.03-0.070.021060%0.014-0.1200%0.00
Rodney Rogers-0.130,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13-0.12-0.04-0.021126%-0.102-0.031100%0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.040.04-0.011055%0.0900.0000%0.00
Bruce Bowen0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.10-0.000.02592%0.0800.00250%-0.01
Brent Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.01856%0.0300.00978%0.02
Manu Ginobili0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.010.011365%0.123-0.0900%0.00
Devin Brown00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.02-0.02950%0.022-0.04667%0.00
Tony Massenburg0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.09-0.00-0.031751%0.024-0.081164%-0.03
Mike Wilks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.020.01425%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
Sean Marks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.02430%-0.062-0.02250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.82.530.416.425.92.030.3131.3
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +29.7%
SAS +1.3%
SAS +2.5%
SAS +6.5%
SAS +10.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOHSASNBANOHSASNBA
this game17.216.715.597.6109.4104.0
season16.516.397.7105.8
opponent15.615.798.4105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOH17.818.116.716.117.2
SAS14.817.915.319.016.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bostjan Nachbar3033-0.05-0.450.39-0.236-162215.418.2-2.7616.716.70.05
Jackson Vroman2021-0.08-0.420.35-0.111-111214.518.0-3.4515.717.0-1.30
Maciej Lampe2019-0.11-0.390.28-0.08-1-9818.016.91.1316.916.60.26
Dan Dickau5656-0.16-0.340.19-0.13-1-9816.917.7-0.7117.614.92.78
J.R. Smith5149-0.19-0.310.13-0.01-6-4-217.816.31.4417.116.20.91
P.J. Brown5454-0.23-0.270.03-0.03-7-3-417.516.60.9616.616.8-0.13
Chris Andersen2323-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.08-7-3-416.017.6-1.6315.717.0-1.31
Rodney Rogers5353-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.12-6-4-218.015.82.2117.515.42.07
Casey Jacobsen3436-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.20-4-6216.317.8-1.4416.217.1-0.91
Junior Harrington2929-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.08-9-1-817.716.90.7114.917.6-2.78
Lee Nailon5552-0.45-0.05-0.390.02-166-2218.215.42.7616.716.7-0.05

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Manu Ginobili56580.60-0.100.700.1017-72415.818.4-2.5616.618.5-1.95
Tim Duncan64650.490.010.470.1312-21416.716.8-0.1518.114.23.84
Robert Horry58590.430.070.36-0.0416-62217.115.91.1817.815.81.99
Tony Parker67680.280.220.060.1455017.314.42.8517.416.50.90
Mike Wilks20190.220.28-0.060.1046-214.017.5-3.5215.317.7-2.41
Brent Barry50470.210.29-0.090.1819-817.215.91.3317.416.90.44
Bruce Bowen62630.190.31-0.110.1137-417.315.22.0818.014.93.08
Sean Marks31280.080.42-0.350.22-515-2016.516.8-0.3815.218.2-2.94
Devin Brown330.020.48-0.460.05-111-126.717.1-10.395.717.6-11.94
Tony Massenburg1415-0.010.51-0.520.05-212-1418.016.41.5616.917.3-0.39


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.71,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 81, WAS 920.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.67,0.76,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.96,193.9%
GSW 104, LAC 1120.5,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.69,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.93,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.93,1,1,193.9%
DEN 76, TOR 890.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.76,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.86,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,193.9%