inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 78 Excitement2.7 [985] MVPKevin Durant (OKC): +12.8%
Oklahoma City Thunder 92 Comeback1.0 [881] LVPCJ Watson (CHI): -8.7%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Korver0.040,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.00-0.031350%0.061-0.02250%-0.01
Taj Gibson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.00-0.01850%0.0300.00450%0.00
Brian Scalabrine0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01125%0.0000.00250%0.00
Jimmy Butler-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05325%0.001-0.002100%0.00
Carlos Boozer-0.010,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.02850%0.022-0.0300%0.00
Omer Asik-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.070.00-0.0520%-0.022-0.0100%0.00
John Lucas III-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.040.000.072047%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Luol Deng-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.08-0.01-0.061331%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Joakim Noah-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.010.02826%-0.0800.003100%0.01
Ronnie Brewer-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.00-0.01839%-0.033-0.04250%-0.01
CJ Watson-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.010.00729%-0.042-0.0500%0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.180.010.061676%0.141-0.012100%0.01
Russell Westbrook0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.150.010.041864%0.1200.006100%0.02
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.02-0.02850%0.051-0.02250%-0.00
James Harden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.01-0.03761%0.024-0.014100%-0.00
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.010.00741%0.0100.003100%0.01
Lazar Hayward0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01450%0.0010.0000%0.00
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Cole Aldrich0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Royal Ivey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01367%0.042-0.0500%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.01-0.01425%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Nazr Mohammed0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.070.00-0.0620%-0.0120.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.22.830.218.626.03.530.4137.9
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +36.7%
OKC +6.8%
CHI -0.1%
OKC +6.9%
CHI -0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIOKCNBACHIOKCNBA
this game17.014.815.686.7101.1102.8
season16.014.7104.7107.9
opponent15.815.9101.997.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI16.319.115.417.617.0
OKC14.415.213.416.714.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brian Scalabrine1919-0.00-0.500.50-0.3512-263816.717.1-0.3915.814.61.19
Jimmy Butler2121-0.00-0.500.50-0.4415-294417.616.80.7616.714.32.43
Omer Asik3133-0.06-0.440.380.11-6-8215.118.0-2.8415.114.70.34
Taj Gibson4545-0.14-0.360.22-0.264-182217.017.0-0.0215.813.91.89
Ronnie Brewer4242-0.14-0.360.22-0.295-192417.516.51.0515.814.01.74
John Lucas III5351-0.19-0.310.13-0.273-172017.316.50.8115.414.11.29
Kyle Korver5959-0.29-0.21-0.080.21-173-2017.216.60.5715.114.40.73
CJ Watson3740-0.31-0.19-0.130.18-173-2016.517.3-0.8114.115.4-1.29
Joakim Noah3636-0.39-0.11-0.280.22-217-2818.116.31.7813.915.5-1.63
Carlos Boozer4747-0.41-0.10-0.310.18-206-2617.116.80.3313.716.1-2.37
Luol Deng6062-0.570.07-0.630.25-2814-4216.518.0-1.4713.717.3-3.67

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Durant65640.57-0.070.64-0.4033-195213.717.7-4.0416.218.8-2.61
Thabo Sefolosha53520.480.020.47-0.1923-93214.415.5-1.1217.716.11.62
Russell Westbrook60600.470.030.44-0.3528-144213.816.8-3.0216.318.4-2.12
Serge Ibaka43430.450.050.40-0.2524-103413.915.7-1.8216.517.4-0.87
Kendrick Perkins42420.370.130.24-0.0715-11614.215.4-1.1317.616.41.18
Nick Collison45430.080.42-0.34-0.21104615.314.40.9216.117.8-1.63
James Harden42420.060.44-0.39-0.00212-1015.514.21.3017.216.80.33
Derek Fisher34340.040.46-0.430.30-923-3216.613.82.7817.716.61.11
Royal Ivey21210.000.50-0.500.44-1529-4416.714.32.4317.616.80.76
Lazar Hayward21210.000.50-0.500.44-1529-4416.714.32.4317.616.80.76
Reggie Jackson1090.000.50-0.500.32-1125-3615.914.71.1817.616.90.63
Cole Aldrich11110.000.50-0.500.41-1428-4216.014.71.3117.117.00.12
Nazr Mohammed88-0.020.52-0.540.01-115-1617.014.62.3619.916.73.17


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.67,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 97, SAS 1230.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.78,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%
WAS 84, BKN 1190.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
TOR 101, HOU 1170.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.78,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,196.1%