NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	97		Excitement	3.1 [1156]		MVP	Kawhi Leonard (SAS): +9.8%
San Antonio Spurs	123		Comeback	1.0 [1280]		LVP	Justin Hamilton (MIN): -7.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Wiggins	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.03	10	50%	0.07	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Lorenzo Brown	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.04	18	49%	0.03	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Adreian Payne	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	10	55%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Chase Budinger	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.07	7	59%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Zach LaVine	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.00	0.04	13	64%	0.00	5	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Gorgui Dieng	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	13	36%	-0.05	2	-0.01	2	0%	-0.00
Justin Hamilton	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	0.05	9	50%	-0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.02	-0.01	13	56%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.01	0.02	8	81%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	10	52%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.01	0.03	6	86%	0.08	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	-0.00	-0.03	5	79%	0.10	4	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	6	71%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	10	65%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.08	0.00	0.08	5	91%	-0.00	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.02	6	58%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	7	56%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	29.5	16.6	27.2	2.7	25.5	127.4
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +43.9%

SAS +7.6%

MIN -11.0%

SAS +7.1%

SAS +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAS	NBA	MIN	SAS	NBA
this game	15.0	14.8	15.1	101.0	126.8	104.2
season	15.0	15.4		101.2	106.9
opponent	14.9	15.0		101.1	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.4	17.2	15.6	12.7	15.0
SAS	16.9	14.1	11.0	17.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lorenzo Brown	32	32	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-25	24	14.6	15.2	-0.63	16.7	13.9	2.76
Chase Budinger	44	43	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-26	26	13.8	16.0	-2.16	15.6	14.2	1.42
Adreian Payne	46	46	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.28	8	-34	42	14.4	15.6	-1.15	14.8	14.8	-0.02
Andrew Wiggins	73	74	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.49	-32	6	-38	15.7	12.8	2.93	14.8	14.8	0.01
Justin Hamilton	72	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.12	-20	-6	-14	14.5	16.6	-2.10	15.8	11.9	3.89
Zach LaVine	84	86	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.23	-24	-2	-22	14.7	16.8	-2.08	14.9	14.5	0.43
Gorgui Dieng	65	65	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.43	-31	5	-36	16.0	13.0	2.97	13.3	18.0	-4.77
Kevin Martin	64	65	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.36	-30	4	-34	15.6	13.8	1.80	13.9	16.8	-2.95

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Parker	50	49	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.27	25	1	24	14.3	15.4	-1.10	15.8	14.1	1.69
Tim Duncan	46	45	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.24	23	3	20	13.7	15.9	-2.21	16.1	14.1	1.99
Kawhi Leonard	52	52	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.31	24	2	22	13.2	16.8	-3.62	16.2	13.6	2.58
Tiago Splitter	42	43	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.32	23	3	20	13.3	16.0	-2.65	15.4	14.7	0.74
Danny Green	33	34	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.35	21	5	16	12.2	16.2	-3.98	15.6	14.7	0.89
Manu Ginobili	35	35	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.15	14	12	2	15.3	14.6	0.66	16.5	14.1	2.41
Boris Diaw	49	46	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.15	0	26	-26	15.9	13.8	2.07	14.6	15.4	-0.77
Marco Belinelli	41	41	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	24	-22	16.9	13.4	3.50	13.6	16.1	-2.49
Aron Baynes	20	21	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.08	5	21	-16	15.3	14.7	0.59	15.6	14.9	0.72
Patty Mills	34	35	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.00	1	25	-24	16.1	14.2	1.88	14.1	15.5	-1.41
Cory Joseph	34	31	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	25	-24	15.8	14.3	1.48	13.5	15.7	-2.25
Jeff Ayres	31	30	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	28	-30	16.3	14.2	2.09	13.0	15.9	-2.88
Matt Bonner	18	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	33	-40	17.2	14.3	2.86	12.9	15.5	-2.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.78,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 80, PHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
PHI 76, WAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
CHI 78, OKC 92	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.67,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%